Colgate Palmolive (Germany) Price Prediction

CPA Stock  EUR 88.48  1.76  1.95%   
As of 22nd of December 2024, the value of RSI of Colgate Palmolive's share price is approaching 44 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Colgate Palmolive, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

44

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Colgate Palmolive's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Colgate Palmolive and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Colgate Palmolive's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Colgate Palmolive, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Colgate Palmolive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Colgate Palmolive from the perspective of Colgate Palmolive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Colgate Palmolive to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Colgate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Colgate Palmolive after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 88.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Colgate Palmolive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Colgate Stock please use our How to Invest in Colgate Palmolive guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
80.1481.2797.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.1187.2588.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
87.7289.2390.74
Details

Colgate Palmolive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Colgate Palmolive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Colgate Palmolive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Colgate Palmolive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Colgate Palmolive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Colgate Palmolive's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Colgate Palmolive's historical news coverage. Colgate Palmolive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.35 and 89.61, respectively. We have considered Colgate Palmolive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
88.48
88.48
After-hype Price
89.61
Upside
Colgate Palmolive is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Colgate Palmolive is based on 3 months time horizon.

Colgate Palmolive Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Colgate Palmolive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Colgate Palmolive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Colgate Palmolive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.10
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.48
88.48
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Colgate Palmolive Hype Timeline

Colgate Palmolive is currently traded for 88.48on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Colgate is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Colgate Palmolive is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.48. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 20th of January 2023. Colgate Palmolive had 2:1 split on the 16th of May 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Colgate Palmolive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Colgate Stock please use our How to Invest in Colgate Palmolive guide.

Colgate Palmolive Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Colgate Palmolive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Colgate Palmolive's future price movements. Getting to know how Colgate Palmolive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Colgate Palmolive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PRGThe Procter Gamble 0.00 0 per month 0.72  0.06  1.70 (1.19) 5.79 
LORALOREAL ADR 15EO 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.05 (3.01) 9.21 
LORLOral SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.20 (3.05) 10.88 
LORLOral SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.02 (2.59) 10.88 
UNVBUnilever Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.21 (1.76) 4.72 
UNVAUnilever PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.83 (2.55) 6.29 
UNVBUnilever Plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.24 (1.20) 4.80 
ELAAThe Este Lauder 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 5.70 (3.45) 30.09 
CPAColgate Palmolive 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 1.62 (1.60) 5.20 
CPAColgate Palmolive 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.90 (1.95) 5.47 

Colgate Palmolive Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Colgate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Colgate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Colgate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Colgate Palmolive Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Colgate Palmolive stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Colgate Palmolive, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Colgate Palmolive based on analysis of Colgate Palmolive hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Colgate Palmolive's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Colgate Palmolive's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Colgate Palmolive

The number of cover stories for Colgate Palmolive depends on current market conditions and Colgate Palmolive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Colgate Palmolive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Colgate Palmolive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Colgate Palmolive Short Properties

Colgate Palmolive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Colgate Palmolive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Colgate Palmolive often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Colgate Palmolive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colgate Palmolive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding830.2 M
Short Long Term Debt25 M

Complementary Tools for Colgate Stock analysis

When running Colgate Palmolive's price analysis, check to measure Colgate Palmolive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Colgate Palmolive is operating at the current time. Most of Colgate Palmolive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Colgate Palmolive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Colgate Palmolive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Colgate Palmolive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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