Danaos Stock Price Prediction

DAC Stock  USD 79.38  0.37  0.47%   
The value of relative strength index of Danaos' stock price is about 60 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Danaos, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Danaos' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Danaos, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Danaos' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
7.2
EPS Estimate Current Year
27.315
EPS Estimate Next Year
28.965
Wall Street Target Price
101
Using Danaos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Danaos from the perspective of Danaos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Danaos to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Danaos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Danaos after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 79.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Danaos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Danaos Stock refer to our How to Trade Danaos Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.9878.5580.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
72.2573.8275.38
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.4478.5087.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.776.836.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Danaos. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Danaos' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Danaos' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Danaos.

Danaos After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Danaos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Danaos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Danaos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Danaos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Danaos' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Danaos' historical news coverage. Danaos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.88 and 81.02, respectively. We have considered Danaos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
79.38
79.45
After-hype Price
81.02
Upside
Danaos is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Danaos is based on 3 months time horizon.

Danaos Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Danaos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Danaos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Danaos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.57
  0.07 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
79.38
79.45
0.09 
67.97  
Notes

Danaos Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of December Danaos is traded for 79.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Danaos is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 79.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 67.97%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Danaos is about 2616.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.38. The company reported the last year's revenue of 973.58 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 576.3 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 787.06 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Danaos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Danaos Stock refer to our How to Trade Danaos Stock guide.

Danaos Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Danaos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Danaos' future price movements. Getting to know how Danaos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Danaos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GNKGenco Shipping Trading 0.30 5 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.54 (3.32) 9.22 
CMRECostamare(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.19 (4.34) 9.49 
EGLEEagle Bulk Shipping 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.14 (3.92) 10.32 
ASCArdmore Shpng(0.26)10 per month 0.00 (0.42) 2.45 (3.85) 10.53 
GSLGlobal Ship Lease(1.18)8 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.46 (2.87) 8.24 
CPLPCapital Product Partners 0.19 8 per month 2.13 (0.02) 3.59 (3.04) 14.99 
ESEAEuroseas 0.20 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.85 (4.63) 16.76 
NMMNavios Maritime Partners 0.39 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.85 (3.20) 12.91 
NMNavios Maritime Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.56 (4.86) 16.27 
SBLKStar Bulk Carriers(0.26)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 3.44 (3.57) 10.19 
GOGLGolden Ocean Group(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.81 (4.39) 14.22 
DSXDiana Shipping(0.06)8 per month 0.00 (0.22) 3.14 (3.91) 17.12 

Danaos Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Danaos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Danaos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Danaos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Danaos Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Danaos stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Danaos, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Danaos based on analysis of Danaos hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Danaos's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Danaos's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0410.0389
Price To Sales Ratio1.522.06

Story Coverage note for Danaos

The number of cover stories for Danaos depends on current market conditions and Danaos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Danaos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Danaos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Danaos Short Properties

Danaos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Danaos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Danaos often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Danaos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Danaos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments357.8 M

Complementary Tools for Danaos Stock analysis

When running Danaos' price analysis, check to measure Danaos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Danaos is operating at the current time. Most of Danaos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Danaos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Danaos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Danaos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope