Digimarc Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 27.44 30.91 34.38 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 32.83 36.30 39.77 Details

2 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 27.30 30.00 33.30 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.27 -0.27 -0.27 Details

Digimarc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Digimarc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Digimarc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.32	3.49	0.08	0.12	9 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
33.84	33.75	0.27	1,342   Notes

Digimarc Hype Timeline

Digimarc is currently traded for 33.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Digimarc is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 33.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Digimarc is about 967.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.72. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.93. Digimarc last dividend was issued on the 1st of May 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.

Digimarc Related Hype Analysis

Digimarc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Digimarc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Digimarc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Digimarc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Digimarc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Digimarc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Digimarc based on analysis of Digimarc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Digimarc depends on current market conditions and Digimarc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Digimarc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Digimarc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Digimarc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Digimarc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Digimarc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Digimarc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digimarc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Digimarc's price analysis, check to measure Digimarc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Digimarc is operating at the current time. Most of Digimarc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Digimarc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Digimarc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Digimarc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.