Elektro Redes (Brazil) Price Prediction
| EKTR4 Preferred Stock | BRL 51.00 2.40 4.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Elektro Redes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Elektro Redes SA from the perspective of Elektro Redes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Elektro Redes to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Elektro because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Elektro Redes after-hype prediction price | BRL 51.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Elektro |
Elektro Redes After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Elektro Redes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Elektro Redes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Elektro Redes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Elektro Redes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Elektro Redes' preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Elektro Redes' historical news coverage. Elektro Redes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.09 and 54.91, respectively. We have considered Elektro Redes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Elektro Redes is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Elektro Redes SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Elektro Redes Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Elektro Redes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Elektro Redes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Elektro Redes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 3.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
51.00 | 51.00 | 0.00 |
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Elektro Redes Hype Timeline
Elektro Redes SA is currently traded for 51.00on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Elektro is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Elektro Redes is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.00. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Elektro Redes was currently reported as 15.7. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.9. Elektro Redes SA last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2023. The entity had 1:2000 split on the 5th of May 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Elektro Redes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Elektro Redes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Elektro Redes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Elektro Redes' future price movements. Getting to know how Elektro Redes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Elektro Redes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USIM5 | Usinas Siderrgicas de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.24 | (4.72) | 13.69 | |
| CSNA3 | Companhia Siderrgica Nacional | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.39 | (4.69) | 19.52 | |
| GGBR4 | Gerdau SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 3.32 | (2.91) | 13.36 | |
| ELET6 | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.60 | (2.61) | 6.77 |
Elektro Redes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Elektro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Elektro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Elektro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Elektro Redes Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Elektro Redes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Elektro Redes SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Elektro Redes based on analysis of Elektro Redes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Elektro Redes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Elektro Redes's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Elektro Redes
The number of cover stories for Elektro Redes depends on current market conditions and Elektro Redes' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Elektro Redes is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Elektro Redes' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Elektro Redes Short Properties
Elektro Redes' future price predictability will typically decrease when Elektro Redes' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Elektro Redes SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Elektro Redes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Elektro Redes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 193.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 952 M |
Additional Tools for Elektro Preferred Stock Analysis
When running Elektro Redes' price analysis, check to measure Elektro Redes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elektro Redes is operating at the current time. Most of Elektro Redes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elektro Redes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elektro Redes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elektro Redes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.