Enova International Stock Price Prediction
| ENVA Stock | USD 105.54 0.84 0.79% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.217 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.2 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.8 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.865 | Wall Street Target Price 103.4286 |
Using Enova International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Enova International from the perspective of Enova International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Enova International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Enova because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Enova International after-hype prediction price | USD 106.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Enova |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Enova International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Enova International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Enova International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Enova International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Enova International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Enova International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Enova International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Enova International's historical news coverage. Enova International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.57 and 109.15, respectively. We have considered Enova International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Enova International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Enova International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Enova International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Enova International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enova International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enova International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 2.30 | 0.65 | 0.11 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
105.54 | 106.86 | 1.25 |
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Enova International Hype Timeline
Enova International is currently traded for 105.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Enova is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 106.86 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 127.78%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Enova International is about 730.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 105.43. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.12 B. Net Income was 175.12 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 828.01 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Enova International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Enova International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Enova International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Enova International's future price movements. Getting to know how Enova International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Enova International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QFIN | 360 Finance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.44 | 0.16 | 6.30 | (4.25) | 13.28 | |
| ATLC | Atlanticus Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | 0.27 | 5.83 | (2.04) | 11.47 | |
| QD | Qudian Inc | (0.04) | 1 per month | 2.47 | 0.14 | 6.93 | (4.21) | 15.86 | |
| ENVA | Enova International | (1.80) | 11 per month | 1.59 | 0.12 | 3.02 | (3.16) | 13.01 | |
| XYF | X Financial Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.10 | 0.14 | 9.28 | (5.12) | 27.09 | |
| LC | LendingClub Corp | (0.26) | 11 per month | 1.98 | 0.13 | 5.23 | (3.31) | 15.07 | |
| FINV | FinVolution Group | (0.07) | 7 per month | 2.26 | 0.09 | 4.41 | (4.60) | 13.22 | |
| YRD | Yirendai | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.24 | 0.06 | 10.82 | (6.80) | 46.34 | |
| NAVI | Navient Corp | (0.98) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.95 | (3.50) | 13.67 | |
| SNTG | Sentage Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.91 | (4.78) | 21.33 |
Enova International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enova price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enova using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enova charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Enova International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Enova International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Enova International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Enova International based on analysis of Enova International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Enova International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Enova International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.15 | 0.14 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.8 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Enova International
The number of cover stories for Enova International depends on current market conditions and Enova International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Enova International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Enova International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Enova International Short Properties
Enova International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Enova International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Enova International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Enova International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Enova International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Enova Stock analysis
When running Enova International's price analysis, check to measure Enova International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Enova International is operating at the current time. Most of Enova International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Enova International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Enova International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Enova International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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