Aim Investment Securities Fund Price Prediction

FDATX Fund  USD 25.64  0.01  0.04%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Aim Investment's mutual fund price is slightly above 69. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aim, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aim Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aim Investment Securities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aim Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aim Investment Securities from the perspective of Aim Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aim Investment to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aim because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aim Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 25.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Aim Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aim Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.3923.5728.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.4025.5825.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.5925.7025.81
Details

Aim Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aim Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aim Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Aim Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aim Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aim Investment's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aim Investment's historical news coverage. Aim Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.46 and 25.82, respectively. We have considered Aim Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.64
25.64
After-hype Price
25.82
Upside
Aim Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aim Investment Securities is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aim Investment Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Aim Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aim Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aim Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.18
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.64
25.64
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Aim Investment Hype Timeline

Aim Investment Securities is currently traded for 25.64. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aim is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aim Investment is about 18000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.64. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Aim Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Aim Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aim Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aim Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Aim Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aim Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VMICXInvesco Municipal Income 0.03 1 per month 0.24 (0.47) 0.33 (0.41) 1.59 
VMINXInvesco Municipal Income 0.00 0 per month 0.24 (0.46) 0.41 (0.33) 1.58 
VMIIXInvesco Municipal Income 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.44) 0.33 (0.41) 1.58 
OARDXOppenheimer Rising Dividends(0.05)1 per month 0.27 (0.02) 0.84 (0.80) 3.01 
AMHYXInvesco High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.55) 0.28 (0.28) 0.84 
OSICXOppenheimer Strategic Income 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42) 0.63 (0.64) 1.58 
OSMAXOppenheimer International Small 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.98 (1.20) 3.83 
OSMCXOppenheimer International Small 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 0.98 (1.18) 3.86 
HYIFXInvesco High Yield 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.56) 0.28 (0.28) 0.84 
HYINXInvesco High Yield 0.01 1 per month 0.00 (0.56) 0.28 (0.28) 0.84 

Aim Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aim price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aim using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aim charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aim Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aim Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aim Investment Securities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aim Investment based on analysis of Aim Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aim Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aim Investment's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Aim Investment

The number of cover stories for Aim Investment depends on current market conditions and Aim Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aim Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aim Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Aim Mutual Fund

Aim Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aim with respect to the benefits of owning Aim Investment security.
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