Guardian Capital Group Stock Price Prediction
| GCG Stock | CAD 44.20 0.39 0.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.96) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.54 | Wall Street Target Price 44 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.53 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.567 |
Using Guardian Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guardian Capital Group from the perspective of Guardian Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guardian Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guardian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guardian Capital after-hype prediction price | CAD 44.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guardian |
Guardian Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guardian Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guardian Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guardian Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guardian Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guardian Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guardian Capital's historical news coverage. Guardian Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.02 and 45.48, respectively. We have considered Guardian Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guardian Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guardian Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guardian Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guardian Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guardian Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guardian Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.23 | 0.05 | 22.19 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
44.20 | 44.25 | 0.11 |
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Guardian Capital Hype Timeline
Guardian Capital is currently traded for 44.20on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 22.19. Guardian is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Guardian Capital is about 0.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.39. The company reported the revenue of 254.54 M. Net Income was 657.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 97.28 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Guardian Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Guardian Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guardian Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guardian Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Guardian Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guardian Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BRK | Berkshire Hathaway CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.87 | (0.05) | 1.22 | (1.52) | 7.22 | |
| ELF | E L Financial Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.86 | 0.03 | 0.95 | (0.39) | 13.77 | |
| ELF-PH | E L Financial 3 | 1,453 | 1 per month | 0.54 | (0.12) | 0.86 | (0.87) | 2.55 | |
| TPX-B | Molson Coors Canada | (0.07) | 1 per month | 1.17 | 0.11 | 3.49 | (2.07) | 11.89 | |
| FFH | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 26.89 | 3 per month | 1.08 | 0.12 | 1.91 | (1.98) | 12.98 | |
| FFH-PF | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.18 | 2.35 | (1.95) | 15.27 | |
| FFH-PJ | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | 0.12 | 1.54 | (1.67) | 12.64 | |
| FFH-PM | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.22 | 0.02 | 0.88 | (0.74) | 2.17 | |
| FFH-PD | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | 0.11 | 1.75 | (1.23) | 7.31 | |
| FFH-PH | Fairfax Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | 0.13 | 2.04 | (1.33) | 12.15 |
Guardian Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guardian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guardian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guardian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guardian Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guardian Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guardian Capital Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guardian Capital based on analysis of Guardian Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guardian Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guardian Capital's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0198 | 0.0245 | 0.028 | 0.0294 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.26 | 4.43 | 4.44 | 3.88 |
Story Coverage note for Guardian Capital
The number of cover stories for Guardian Capital depends on current market conditions and Guardian Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guardian Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guardian Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Guardian Capital Short Properties
Guardian Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Guardian Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guardian Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guardian Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guardian Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 139.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Guardian Stock
Guardian Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guardian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guardian with respect to the benefits of owning Guardian Capital security.