Perdana Gapura (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| GPRA Stock | IDR 89.00 1.00 1.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Perdana Gapura hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perdana Gapura Prima from the perspective of Perdana Gapura response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Perdana Gapura to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Perdana because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Perdana Gapura after-hype prediction price | IDR 89.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Perdana |
Perdana Gapura After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perdana Gapura at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perdana Gapura or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perdana Gapura, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perdana Gapura Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perdana Gapura's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perdana Gapura's historical news coverage. Perdana Gapura's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.38 and 90.62, respectively. We have considered Perdana Gapura's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perdana Gapura is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perdana Gapura Prima is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perdana Gapura Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perdana Gapura is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perdana Gapura backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perdana Gapura, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
89.00 | 89.00 | 0.00 |
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Perdana Gapura Hype Timeline
Perdana Gapura Prima is currently traded for 89.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Perdana is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perdana Gapura is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 89.00. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.39. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Perdana Gapura Prima recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of August 2022. The firm had 4:3 split on the 19th of July 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Perdana Gapura Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Perdana Gapura Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perdana Gapura's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perdana Gapura's future price movements. Getting to know how Perdana Gapura's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perdana Gapura may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BKDP | Bukit Darmo Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.33 | (0) | 8.33 | (8.11) | 14.35 | |
| DILD | Intiland Development Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.97 | (2.88) | 8.41 | |
| BAPA | Bekasi Asri Pemula | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.57 | (3.39) | 15.03 | |
| DART | Duta Anggada Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.13 | (0.01) | 4.49 | (3.85) | 54.21 | |
| BIPP | Bhuwanatala Indah Permai | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.69 | 0.04 | 7.14 | (6.67) | 15.00 |
Perdana Gapura Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perdana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perdana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perdana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Perdana Gapura Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Perdana Gapura stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Perdana Gapura Prima, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Perdana Gapura based on analysis of Perdana Gapura hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Perdana Gapura's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Perdana Gapura's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Perdana Gapura
The number of cover stories for Perdana Gapura depends on current market conditions and Perdana Gapura's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perdana Gapura is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perdana Gapura's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perdana Gapura Short Properties
Perdana Gapura's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perdana Gapura's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perdana Gapura Prima often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perdana Gapura's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perdana Gapura's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 63.3 B |
Other Information on Investing in Perdana Stock
Perdana Gapura financial ratios help investors to determine whether Perdana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Perdana with respect to the benefits of owning Perdana Gapura security.