Gap Inc Price Prediction
| GPSDelisted Stock | USD 23.28 0.18 0.78% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gap hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gap Inc from the perspective of Gap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gap to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gap because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gap after-hype prediction price | USD 23.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gap |
Gap After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gap at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gap or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gap, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gap's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gap's historical news coverage. Gap's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.28 and 23.28, respectively. We have considered Gap's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gap is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gap Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gap Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gap is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gap backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gap, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.28 | 23.28 | 0.00 |
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Gap Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Gap Inc is traded for 23.28. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gap is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gap is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.28. About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Gap was currently reported as 7.22. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.94. Gap Inc last dividend was issued on the 9th of October 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 22nd of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.Gap Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gap's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gap's future price movements. Getting to know how Gap's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gap may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.82 | (5.01) | 17.90 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | (0.66) | 9 per month | 1.55 | (0) | 3.86 | (2.61) | 7.06 | |
| FL | Foot Locker | 0.24 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.66 | (4.66) | 13.15 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.71 | 11 per month | 6.09 | 0.14 | 24.62 | (11.60) | 107.65 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.59 | (4.39) | 9.65 | |
| LULU | Lululemon Athletica | (3.15) | 8 per month | 1.84 | 0.06 | 3.24 | (3.10) | 11.09 | |
| BURL | Burlington Stores | 0.88 | 9 per month | 2.03 | (0.03) | 2.37 | (2.77) | 9.11 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | (0.27) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.56 | (0.24) | 19.75 | |
| EXPR | Express | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.69 | (6.76) | 24.98 |
Gap Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gap price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gap using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gap charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gap Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gap stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gap Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gap based on analysis of Gap hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gap's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gap's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Gap
The number of cover stories for Gap depends on current market conditions and Gap's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gap is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gap's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gap Short Properties
Gap's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gap's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gap Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gap's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gap's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 376 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Other Consideration for investing in Gap Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Gap Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gap's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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