Lululemon Athletica Stock Price Prediction
| LULU Stock | USD 319.52 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.175 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.13 | Wall Street Target Price 320.5621 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.93 |
Using Lululemon Athletica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lululemon Athletica from the perspective of Lululemon Athletica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Lululemon Athletica Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lululemon Athletica's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lululemon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lululemon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lululemon Athletica. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lululemon Athletica's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lululemon Athletica.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lululemon Athletica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lululemon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lululemon Athletica after-hype prediction price | USD 318.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lululemon |
Lululemon Athletica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lululemon Athletica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lululemon Athletica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lululemon Athletica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
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| Expected price to next headline |
Lululemon Athletica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lululemon Athletica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lululemon Athletica's historical news coverage. Lululemon Athletica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 316.26 and 320.58, respectively. We have considered Lululemon Athletica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lululemon Athletica is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lululemon Athletica is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lululemon Athletica Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lululemon Athletica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lululemon Athletica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lululemon Athletica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.18 | 1.10 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
319.52 | 318.42 | 0.34 |
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Lululemon Athletica Hype Timeline
Lululemon Athletica is now traded for 319.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Lululemon is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 318.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 69.21%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Lululemon Athletica is about 2180.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 319.49. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.6. Lululemon Athletica recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.94. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of July 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Lululemon Athletica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lululemon Athletica Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lululemon Athletica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lululemon Athletica's future price movements. Getting to know how Lululemon Athletica's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lululemon Athletica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.59 | (4.39) | 9.65 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | 0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.82 | (5.01) | 17.90 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | (0.66) | 9 per month | 1.55 | (0) | 3.86 | (2.61) | 7.06 | |
| FL | Foot Locker | 0.24 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.66 | (4.66) | 13.15 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.71 | 11 per month | 6.09 | 0.14 | 24.62 | (11.60) | 107.65 | |
| GPS | Gap Inc | (0.92) | 10 per month | 2.65 | 0.03 | 6.38 | (4.61) | 36.06 |
Lululemon Athletica Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lululemon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lululemon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lululemon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Lululemon Athletica Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lululemon Athletica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lululemon Athletica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lululemon Athletica based on analysis of Lululemon Athletica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lululemon Athletica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lululemon Athletica's related companies. | 2011 | 2015 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 2.79 | 3.69 | 4.73 | 5.17 | PTB Ratio | 8.66 | 16.46 | 14.43 | 16.98 |
Story Coverage note for Lululemon Athletica
The number of cover stories for Lululemon Athletica depends on current market conditions and Lululemon Athletica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lululemon Athletica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lululemon Athletica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lululemon Athletica Short Properties
Lululemon Athletica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lululemon Athletica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lululemon Athletica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lululemon Athletica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lululemon Athletica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 127.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Additional Tools for Lululemon Stock Analysis
When running Lululemon Athletica's price analysis, check to measure Lululemon Athletica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lululemon Athletica is operating at the current time. Most of Lululemon Athletica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lululemon Athletica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lululemon Athletica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lululemon Athletica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.