JERONIMO MARTINS (Germany) Price Prediction
| JEM0 Stock | EUR 35.60 0.40 1.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JERONIMO MARTINS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 from the perspective of JERONIMO MARTINS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JERONIMO MARTINS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JERONIMO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JERONIMO MARTINS after-hype prediction price | EUR 35.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JERONIMO |
JERONIMO MARTINS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JERONIMO MARTINS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JERONIMO MARTINS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JERONIMO MARTINS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JERONIMO MARTINS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JERONIMO MARTINS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JERONIMO MARTINS's historical news coverage. JERONIMO MARTINS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.81 and 37.39, respectively. We have considered JERONIMO MARTINS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JERONIMO MARTINS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 is based on 3 months time horizon.
JERONIMO MARTINS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JERONIMO MARTINS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JERONIMO MARTINS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JERONIMO MARTINS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.60 | 35.60 | 0.00 |
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JERONIMO MARTINS Hype Timeline
JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 is currently traded for 35.60on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. JERONIMO is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on JERONIMO MARTINS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.60. The book value of the company was currently reported as 6.52. The company last dividend was issued on the 4th of May 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out JERONIMO MARTINS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JERONIMO MARTINS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JERONIMO MARTINS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JERONIMO MARTINS's future price movements. Getting to know how JERONIMO MARTINS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JERONIMO MARTINS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SYY | Sysco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.12 | 2.32 | (1.64) | 6.49 | |
| JEM | Jernimo Martins SGPS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.05 | 2.54 | (2.55) | 11.35 | |
| JEM0 | JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.07 | 2.86 | (2.20) | 9.46 | |
| P5F | Performance Food Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | 0.12 | 2.44 | (1.80) | 11.73 | |
| UFH | US Foods Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.31 | (2.94) | 10.25 | |
| AXL1 | Axfood AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.77 | (2.67) | 13.07 | |
| B4B3 | Metro AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.94 | (5.61) | 19.00 | |
| B4B3 | Metro AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.91 | (4.47) | 20.88 |
JERONIMO MARTINS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JERONIMO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JERONIMO using various technical indicators. When you analyze JERONIMO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About JERONIMO MARTINS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JERONIMO MARTINS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JERONIMO MARTINS based on analysis of JERONIMO MARTINS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JERONIMO MARTINS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JERONIMO MARTINS's related companies.
Story Coverage note for JERONIMO MARTINS
The number of cover stories for JERONIMO MARTINS depends on current market conditions and JERONIMO MARTINS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JERONIMO MARTINS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JERONIMO MARTINS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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JERONIMO MARTINS Short Properties
JERONIMO MARTINS's future price predictability will typically decrease when JERONIMO MARTINS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JERONIMO MARTINS UNADR2 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JERONIMO MARTINS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JERONIMO MARTINS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.29 | |
| Float Shares | 121.71M | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.88% |
Complementary Tools for JERONIMO Stock analysis
When running JERONIMO MARTINS's price analysis, check to measure JERONIMO MARTINS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JERONIMO MARTINS is operating at the current time. Most of JERONIMO MARTINS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JERONIMO MARTINS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JERONIMO MARTINS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JERONIMO MARTINS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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