JSC National (UK) Price Prediction
| KAP Stock | USD 37.90 0.20 0.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8 K | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3 K | Wall Street Target Price 25.8 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.32) |
Using JSC National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JSC National Atomic from the perspective of JSC National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in JSC National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying JSC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
JSC National after-hype prediction price | USD 37.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JSC |
JSC National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JSC National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JSC National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JSC National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JSC National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JSC National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JSC National's historical news coverage. JSC National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.19 and 39.55, respectively. We have considered JSC National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JSC National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JSC National Atomic is based on 3 months time horizon.
JSC National Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JSC National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JSC National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JSC National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.68 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.90 | 37.87 | 0.08 |
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JSC National Hype Timeline
JSC National Atomic is now traded for 37.90on London IL of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. JSC is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 37.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 105.0%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on JSC National is about 763.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.90. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out JSC National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.JSC National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JSC National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JSC National's future price movements. Getting to know how JSC National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JSC National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0A1O | Zoom Video Communications | (0.41) | 5 per month | 2.13 | 0.16 | 3.63 | (3.40) | 13.63 | |
| 0KTI | Enbridge | 0.20 | 3 per month | 0.52 | 0.24 | 2.00 | (1.21) | 6.22 | |
| 0Y5F | Endo International PLC | (2.00) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.27 | (1.98) | 5.20 | |
| 0HJI | Automatic Data Processing | (2.47) | 1 per month | 0.73 | 0.07 | 1.33 | (1.23) | 7.53 | |
| HSBA | HSBC Holdings PLC | (4.00) | 1 per month | 1.05 | 0.19 | 1.54 | (1.05) | 6.70 | |
| MARS | Marstons PLC | (2.05) | 2 per month | 1.78 | 0.1 | 4.94 | (3.10) | 16.79 | |
| MNKS | Monks Investment Trust | (2.00) | 4 per month | 0.64 | 0.11 | 1.58 | (0.93) | 4.18 | |
| DEC | Diversified Energy | 6.00 | 4 per month | 1.98 | 0.20 | 5.31 | (3.72) | 12.90 | |
| 0HW4 | Charter Communications Cl | 4.75 | 1 per month | 2.24 | 0.04 | 3.38 | (3.43) | 19.79 |
JSC National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JSC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JSC using various technical indicators. When you analyze JSC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About JSC National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of JSC National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as JSC National Atomic, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of JSC National based on analysis of JSC National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to JSC National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to JSC National's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0362 | 0.0674 | 0.0411 | 0.0403 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.0 | 3.37 | 3.41 | 2.69 |
Story Coverage note for JSC National
The number of cover stories for JSC National depends on current market conditions and JSC National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JSC National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JSC National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JSC National Short Properties
JSC National's future price predictability will typically decrease when JSC National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JSC National Atomic often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JSC National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JSC National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 259.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in JSC Stock
JSC National financial ratios help investors to determine whether JSC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JSC with respect to the benefits of owning JSC National security.