KCI SA (Poland) Price Prediction

KCI Stock   0.84  0.04  5.00%   
As of today, the value of RSI of KCI SA's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling KCI SA, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of KCI SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of KCI SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from KCI SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with KCI SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using KCI SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KCI SA from the perspective of KCI SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KCI SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KCI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

KCI SA after-hype prediction price

    
  PLN 0.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out KCI SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KCI SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.692.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.832.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.790.810.83
Details

KCI SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of KCI SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KCI SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KCI SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

KCI SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting KCI SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KCI SA's historical news coverage. KCI SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 2.24, respectively. We have considered KCI SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.84
0.84
After-hype Price
2.24
Upside
KCI SA is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KCI SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

KCI SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KCI SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KCI SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KCI SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.40
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.84
0.84
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

KCI SA Hype Timeline

KCI SA is now traded for 0.84on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KCI is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on KCI SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.84. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KCI SA last dividend was issued on the 27th of May 1999. The entity had 1:28 split on the 7th of November 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out KCI SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

KCI SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to KCI SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KCI SA's future price movements. Getting to know how KCI SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KCI SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

KCI SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine KCI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KCI using various technical indicators. When you analyze KCI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About KCI SA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of KCI SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KCI SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KCI SA based on analysis of KCI SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KCI SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KCI SA's related companies.

Story Coverage note for KCI SA

The number of cover stories for KCI SA depends on current market conditions and KCI SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KCI SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KCI SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

KCI SA Short Properties

KCI SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when KCI SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KCI SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KCI SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KCI SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments32.5 M

Additional Tools for KCI Stock Analysis

When running KCI SA's price analysis, check to measure KCI SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KCI SA is operating at the current time. Most of KCI SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KCI SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KCI SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KCI SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.