LGI (Australia) Price Prediction

LGI Stock   2.95  0.02  0.68%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of LGI's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling LGI, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LGI's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LGI, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LGI's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.10)
Wall Street Target Price
3.4333
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.092
Using LGI hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LGI from the perspective of LGI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LGI to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LGI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

LGI after-hype prediction price

    
  AUD 2.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out LGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.572.484.39
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.02
Details

LGI After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LGI at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LGI or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LGI, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LGI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LGI's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LGI's historical news coverage. LGI's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.04 and 4.86, respectively. We have considered LGI's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.95
2.95
After-hype Price
4.86
Upside
LGI is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LGI is based on 3 months time horizon.

LGI Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LGI is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LGI backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LGI, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.92
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.95
2.95
0.00 
6,400  
Notes

LGI Hype Timeline

LGI is now traded for 2.95on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. LGI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on LGI is about 7926.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.95. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of LGI was now reported as 0.6. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out LGI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

LGI Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LGI's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LGI's future price movements. Getting to know how LGI's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LGI may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JPRJupiter Energy(0)3 per month 2.40  0.08  7.14 (6.67) 25.09 
WA1WA1 Resources 0.25 4 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.82 (6.71) 25.49 
PDIPredictive Discovery 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.00 (7.41) 16.70 
MDXMindax Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 7.14 (9.52) 27.75 
CPMCooper Metals 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.10) 6.67 (6.90) 28.53 
OD6OD6 Metals(0)3 per month 6.70  0.05  12.82 (12.50) 93.51 
IMUImugene 0 3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 6.82 (7.14) 17.67 
ZIPZip Co Limited(0.03)2 per month 2.86  0.03  6.25 (3.61) 20.80 
SHOSportsHero 0 3 per month 4.13  0.14  11.11 (10.00) 45.77 

LGI Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LGI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LGI using various technical indicators. When you analyze LGI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About LGI Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of LGI stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LGI, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LGI based on analysis of LGI hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LGI's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LGI's related companies.

Story Coverage note for LGI

The number of cover stories for LGI depends on current market conditions and LGI's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LGI is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LGI's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

LGI Short Properties

LGI's future price predictability will typically decrease when LGI's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LGI often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LGI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LGI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 M

Additional Tools for LGI Stock Analysis

When running LGI's price analysis, check to measure LGI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LGI is operating at the current time. Most of LGI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LGI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LGI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LGI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.