Mfs Series Trust Fund Price Prediction

MFSIX Fund  USD 11.75  0.04  0.34%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mfs Series' mutual fund price is slightly above 61. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mfs, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mfs Series' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mfs Series Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mfs Series hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mfs Series Trust from the perspective of Mfs Series response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mfs Series to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mfs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mfs Series after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.71  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mfs Series Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0011.6512.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0711.7312.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.4111.6411.87
Details

Mfs Series After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mfs Series at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mfs Series or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mfs Series, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mfs Series Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mfs Series' mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mfs Series' historical news coverage. Mfs Series' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.06 and 12.36, respectively. We have considered Mfs Series' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.75
11.71
After-hype Price
12.36
Upside
Mfs Series is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mfs Series Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mfs Series Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mfs Series is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mfs Series backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mfs Series, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
0.65
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.75
11.71
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mfs Series Hype Timeline

Mfs Series Trust is now traded for 11.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mfs is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mfs Series is about 52000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.75. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mfs Series Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mfs Series Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mfs Series' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mfs Series' future price movements. Getting to know how Mfs Series' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mfs Series may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Mfs Series Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mfs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mfs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mfs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mfs Series Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mfs Series stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mfs Series Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mfs Series based on analysis of Mfs Series hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mfs Series's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mfs Series's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mfs Series

The number of cover stories for Mfs Series depends on current market conditions and Mfs Series' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mfs Series is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mfs Series' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Series financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Series security.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators