Moonpig Group (UK) Price Prediction
| MOON Stock | 245.50 2.50 1.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.27 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.88 | Wall Street Target Price 306.44 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 |
Using Moonpig Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moonpig Group PLC from the perspective of Moonpig Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Moonpig Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Moonpig because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Moonpig Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 244.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Moonpig |
Moonpig Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Moonpig Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moonpig Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moonpig Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Moonpig Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Moonpig Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moonpig Group's historical news coverage. Moonpig Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 242.52 and 246.66, respectively. We have considered Moonpig Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Moonpig Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Moonpig Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Moonpig Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moonpig Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moonpig Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moonpig Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.05 | 0.91 | 7.52 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
245.50 | 244.59 | 0.37 |
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Moonpig Group Hype Timeline
Moonpig Group PLC is now traded for 245.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.91, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -7.52. Moonpig is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 244.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 58.57%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Moonpig Group is about 7.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 237.98. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Moonpig Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Moonpig Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Moonpig Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moonpig Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Moonpig Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moonpig Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0R1G | Home Depot | (224.51) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.28 | |
| WKOF | Weiss Korea Opportunity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | (0.03) | 0.00 | (0.94) | 6.35 | |
| RMMC | River and Mercantile | (4.50) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.02 | (1.16) | 4.95 | |
| CHRY | Chrysalis Investments | (0.70) | 2 per month | 1.30 | 0.06 | 2.84 | (2.18) | 7.06 | |
| SIGC | Sherborne Investors Guernsey | 0.50 | 1 per month | 0.30 | (0.06) | 1.43 | (0.94) | 5.64 | |
| 0QZK | Coca Cola Co | 0.55 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.12 | (1.99) | 4.28 | |
| MINI | Miton UK MicroCap | (1.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 1.02 | (1.73) | 4.97 | |
| 0R1I | NVIDIA Corp | (1.85) | 3 per month | 2.70 | 0 | 4.70 | (4.36) | 11.95 |
Moonpig Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Moonpig price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moonpig using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moonpig charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Moonpig Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Moonpig Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Moonpig Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moonpig Group based on analysis of Moonpig Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Moonpig Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Moonpig Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Moonpig Group
The number of cover stories for Moonpig Group depends on current market conditions and Moonpig Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moonpig Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moonpig Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Moonpig Group Short Properties
Moonpig Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Moonpig Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Moonpig Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moonpig Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moonpig Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 354.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.6 M |
Additional Tools for Moonpig Stock Analysis
When running Moonpig Group's price analysis, check to measure Moonpig Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moonpig Group is operating at the current time. Most of Moonpig Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moonpig Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moonpig Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moonpig Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.