First Western Financial Stock Price Prediction

MYFW Stock  USD 19.29  0.41  2.08%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of First Western's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Western, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Western's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Western and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Western's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Western Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First Western's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.31)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.31
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.9167
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.3133
Wall Street Target Price
24
Using First Western hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Western Financial from the perspective of First Western response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Western to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Western after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.39  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Western Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4521.4523.28
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.9323.0025.53
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.230.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Western. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Western's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Western's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Western Financial.

First Western After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Western at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Western or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Western, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Western Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Western's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Western's historical news coverage. First Western's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.56 and 21.22, respectively. We have considered First Western's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.29
19.39
After-hype Price
21.22
Upside
First Western is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Western Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Western Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Western is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Western backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Western, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.85
 0.00  
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.29
19.39
0.00 
4,625  
Notes

First Western Hype Timeline

First Western Financial is now traded for 19.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Western is about 2097.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.29. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.75. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. First Western Financial had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out First Western Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Western Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Western's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Western's future price movements. Getting to know how First Western's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Western may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.14  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp(0.43)6 per month 2.39  0.02  4.70 (4.49) 17.43 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.35)5 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.36 (1.33) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp 0.06 10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.17 (2.82) 14.21 
FCAPFirst Capital 0.55 6 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.94 (3.81) 10.68 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.31)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.53 (2.16) 11.26 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
HTBIHomeTrust Bancshares(0.01)5 per month 0.00 (0.02) 2.80 (3.47) 18.89 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.12  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
CFBKCF Bankshares 0.18 5 per month 2.72  0.07  6.00 (3.75) 17.90 

First Western Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Western Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Western stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Western Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Western based on analysis of First Western hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Western's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Western's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield3.14E-40.0014310.0032310.00307
Price To Sales Ratio2.51183.32.322.2

Story Coverage note for First Western

The number of cover stories for First Western depends on current market conditions and First Western's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Western is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Western's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First Western Short Properties

First Western's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Western's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Western Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Western's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Western's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments254.4 M

Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Western's price analysis, check to measure First Western's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Western is operating at the current time. Most of First Western's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Western's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Western's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Western to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.