Nintendo Co Stock Price Prediction

NTDOF Stock  USD 58.00  1.00  1.75%   
As of 2nd of December 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nintendo's share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nintendo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nintendo's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nintendo and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nintendo's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nintendo Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nintendo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nintendo Co from the perspective of Nintendo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nintendo to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nintendo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nintendo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 58.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nintendo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.1047.0963.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.2758.2661.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.9453.6257.30
Details

Nintendo After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nintendo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nintendo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Nintendo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nintendo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nintendo's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nintendo's historical news coverage. Nintendo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.01 and 60.99, respectively. We have considered Nintendo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
58.00
58.00
After-hype Price
60.99
Upside
Nintendo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nintendo is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nintendo Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nintendo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nintendo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nintendo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
2.99
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
58.00
58.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Nintendo Hype Timeline

Nintendo is now traded for 58.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Nintendo is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nintendo is about 1692.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 58.03. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Nintendo was now reported as 1866.33. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2023. Nintendo had 10:1 split on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Nintendo Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nintendo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nintendo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nintendo's future price movements. Getting to know how Nintendo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nintendo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TTWOTake Two Interactive Software 1.58 10 per month 1.16  0.09  2.00 (2.13) 9.66 
ATVIActivision Blizzard 0.00 0 per month 2.02  0  1.89 (1.16) 12.20 
EAElectronic Arts 0.54 9 per month 1.17  0.01  1.64 (1.68) 4.73 
UBSFYUbiSoft Entertainment 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.58 (7.52) 34.80 
SQNNYSquare Enix Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.28  0.01  6.13 (5.71) 19.83 
KNAMFKonami Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.35  16.24 (4.49) 16.58 
SGAMYSega Sammy Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.21 (0.05) 4.18 (3.49) 15.95 
CCOEYCapcom Co Ltd 0.00 0 per month 1.86  0  3.55 (3.35) 10.70 
CCOEFCapcom Co 0.00 0 per month 1.42  0.03  5.34 (3.46) 15.60 
SQNXFSquare Enix Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.62  0.0001  9.10 (6.45) 25.34 
OTGLYCD Projekt SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.80 (4.35) 8.21 
NEXOYNexon Co Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26) 2.58 (4.99) 14.50 

Nintendo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nintendo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nintendo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nintendo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nintendo Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nintendo stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nintendo Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nintendo based on analysis of Nintendo hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nintendo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nintendo's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Nintendo

The number of cover stories for Nintendo depends on current market conditions and Nintendo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nintendo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nintendo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Nintendo Short Properties

Nintendo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nintendo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nintendo Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nintendo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nintendo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.3 M

Complementary Tools for Nintendo Pink Sheet analysis

When running Nintendo's price analysis, check to measure Nintendo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nintendo is operating at the current time. Most of Nintendo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nintendo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nintendo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nintendo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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