VERBUND AG (Germany) Price Prediction
| OEW Stock | EUR 14.30 0.20 1.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VERBUND AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VERBUND AG ADR from the perspective of VERBUND AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VERBUND AG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VERBUND because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
VERBUND AG after-hype prediction price | EUR 14.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VERBUND |
VERBUND AG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VERBUND AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VERBUND AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VERBUND AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VERBUND AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VERBUND AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VERBUND AG's historical news coverage. VERBUND AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.81 and 15.79, respectively. We have considered VERBUND AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VERBUND AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VERBUND AG ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
VERBUND AG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VERBUND AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VERBUND AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VERBUND AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.30 | 14.30 | 0.00 |
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VERBUND AG Hype Timeline
VERBUND AG ADR is now traded for 14.30on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. VERBUND is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on VERBUND AG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.30. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out VERBUND AG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.VERBUND AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VERBUND AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VERBUND AG's future price movements. Getting to know how VERBUND AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VERBUND AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OEW | VERBUND AG ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.05 | (2.13) | 8.44 | |
| TKT | TOHOKU EL PWR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.65 | (4.43) | 18.72 | |
| BJ6 | BEIJJINGNENG CLERGHYC1 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.81 | 0.04 | 5.26 | (8.00) | 22.98 | |
| ETG | EnviTec Biogas AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.00 | (2.93) | 11.11 | |
| 6HO | HOKURIKU EL PWR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.35 | (3.51) | 17.19 |
VERBUND AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VERBUND price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VERBUND using various technical indicators. When you analyze VERBUND charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About VERBUND AG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of VERBUND AG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VERBUND AG ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VERBUND AG based on analysis of VERBUND AG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VERBUND AG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VERBUND AG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for VERBUND AG
The number of cover stories for VERBUND AG depends on current market conditions and VERBUND AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VERBUND AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VERBUND AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for VERBUND Stock analysis
When running VERBUND AG's price analysis, check to measure VERBUND AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VERBUND AG is operating at the current time. Most of VERBUND AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VERBUND AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VERBUND AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VERBUND AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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