Premium Brands Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| PBH Stock | CAD 78.26 0.48 0.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.46 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.8951 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.2488 | Wall Street Target Price 102.6667 |
Using Premium Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Premium Brands Holdings from the perspective of Premium Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Premium Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Premium because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Premium Brands after-hype prediction price | CAD 77.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Premium |
Premium Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Premium Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Premium Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Premium Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Premium Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Premium Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Premium Brands' historical news coverage. Premium Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.97 and 79.11, respectively. We have considered Premium Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Premium Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Premium Brands Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Premium Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Premium Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Premium Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Premium Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.56 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
78.26 | 77.54 | 0.31 |
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Premium Brands Hype Timeline
Premium Brands Holdings is at this time traded for 78.26on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Premium is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 77.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 102.63%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Premium Brands is about 1733.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.27. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.99. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Premium Brands Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Premium Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Premium Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Premium Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Premium Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Premium Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Premium Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCL-B | CCL Industries | 0.85 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.79 | (1.67) | 5.21 | |
| NWC | North West | 0.34 | 3 per month | 0.78 | 0.07 | 2.37 | (1.49) | 9.11 | |
| MFI | Maple Leaf Foods | 0.44 | 1 per month | 1.40 | (0.07) | 2.31 | (2.30) | 8.39 | |
| FSV | FirstService Corp | (0.62) | 4 per month | 0.51 | 0.08 | 2.37 | (1.16) | 4.59 | |
| SJ | Stella Jones | (0.56) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.49 | (2.36) | 17.72 |
Premium Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Premium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Premium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Premium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Premium Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Premium Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Premium Brands Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Premium Brands based on analysis of Premium Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Premium Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Premium Brands's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0197 | 0.0334 | 0.0322 | 0.0558 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.12 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.46 |
Story Coverage note for Premium Brands
The number of cover stories for Premium Brands depends on current market conditions and Premium Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Premium Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Premium Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Premium Brands Short Properties
Premium Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Premium Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Premium Brands Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Premium Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Premium Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in Premium Stock
Premium Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Premium Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Premium with respect to the benefits of owning Premium Brands security.