Rentokil Initial Plc Stock Price Prediction
| RKLIF Stock | USD 4.93 0.27 5.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Rentokil Initial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rentokil Initial plc from the perspective of Rentokil Initial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Rentokil Initial to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Rentokil because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Rentokil Initial after-hype prediction price | USD 4.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Rentokil |
Rentokil Initial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rentokil Initial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rentokil Initial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Rentokil Initial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rentokil Initial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rentokil Initial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rentokil Initial's historical news coverage. Rentokil Initial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.51 and 9.11, respectively. We have considered Rentokil Initial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rentokil Initial is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rentokil Initial plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rentokil Initial Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rentokil Initial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rentokil Initial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rentokil Initial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 4.30 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 14 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.93 | 4.81 | 2.43 |
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Rentokil Initial Hype Timeline
Rentokil Initial plc is at this time traded for 4.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.24. Rentokil is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -2.43%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Rentokil Initial is about 477.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.17. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. Rentokil Initial plc last dividend was issued on the 4th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Rentokil Initial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Rentokil Initial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rentokil Initial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rentokil Initial's future price movements. Getting to know how Rentokil Initial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rentokil Initial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTAS | Cintas | (2.78) | 10 per month | 1.63 | (0.04) | 1.66 | (1.44) | 10.73 | |
| TRI | Thomson Reuters Corp | 4.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.34 | (1.84) | 6.56 | |
| GPN | Global Payments | 1.74 | 11 per month | 1.97 | 0 | 3.43 | (2.71) | 9.86 | |
| RBA | RB Global | 1.46 | 8 per month | 0.90 | 0.06 | 2.59 | (1.75) | 8.23 | |
| TLPFF | Teleperformance SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.65 | (4.02) | 19.74 |
Rentokil Initial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rentokil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rentokil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rentokil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Rentokil Initial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Rentokil Initial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Rentokil Initial plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Rentokil Initial based on analysis of Rentokil Initial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Rentokil Initial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Rentokil Initial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Rentokil Initial
The number of cover stories for Rentokil Initial depends on current market conditions and Rentokil Initial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rentokil Initial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rentokil Initial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rentokil Initial Short Properties
Rentokil Initial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rentokil Initial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rentokil Initial plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rentokil Initial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rentokil Initial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.9 B |
Complementary Tools for Rentokil Pink Sheet analysis
When running Rentokil Initial's price analysis, check to measure Rentokil Initial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rentokil Initial is operating at the current time. Most of Rentokil Initial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rentokil Initial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rentokil Initial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rentokil Initial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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