Rpm International Stock Price Prediction
| RPM Stock | USD 138.85 0.75 0.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.132 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.96 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.52 | Wall Street Target Price 134.7743 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.75 |
Using RPM International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RPM International from the perspective of RPM International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
RPM International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to RPM International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RPM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RPM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RPM International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RPM International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RPM International.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in RPM International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying RPM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
RPM International after-hype prediction price | USD 139.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
RPM |
RPM International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RPM International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RPM International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RPM International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RPM International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RPM International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RPM International's historical news coverage. RPM International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 138.33 and 141.03, respectively. We have considered RPM International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RPM International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RPM International is based on 3 months time horizon.
RPM International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RPM International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RPM International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RPM International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.36 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
138.85 | 139.68 | 0.60 |
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RPM International Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November RPM International is traded for 138.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.8, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.6. RPM is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 139.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 50.75%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on RPM International is about 67.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 139.45. The company reported the last year's revenue of 7.34 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 589.44 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.43 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.RPM International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RPM International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RPM International's future price movements. Getting to know how RPM International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RPM International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IOSP | Innospec | 3.95 | 6 per month | 1.37 | (0.03) | 2.24 | (2.10) | 16.32 | |
| MTX | Minerals Technologies | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.36 | 0.01 | 2.46 | (2.51) | 11.90 | |
| ODC | Oil Dri | (1.05) | 8 per month | 1.71 | (0.05) | 3.02 | (2.09) | 9.82 | |
| KWR | Quaker Chemical | 9.67 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.23 | (2.92) | 18.04 | |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies | (0.35) | 7 per month | 1.32 | (0.04) | 2.14 | (2.19) | 8.84 | |
| ASH | Ashland Global Holdings | 0.85 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.88 | (2.26) | 10.47 | |
| FUL | H B Fuller | (0.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.76 | (2.51) | 8.58 | |
| BCPC | Balchem | 3.74 | 9 per month | 1.28 | (0.03) | 2.54 | (1.99) | 8.32 |
RPM International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RPM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RPM using various technical indicators. When you analyze RPM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About RPM International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of RPM International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as RPM International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of RPM International based on analysis of RPM International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to RPM International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to RPM International's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0181 | 0.021 | 0.0162 | 0.0154 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.68 | 1.4 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
Story Coverage note for RPM International
The number of cover stories for RPM International depends on current market conditions and RPM International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RPM International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RPM International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
RPM International Short Properties
RPM International's future price predictability will typically decrease when RPM International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RPM International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RPM International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RPM International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 237.4 M |
Check out RPM International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in RPM Stock, please use our How to Invest in RPM International guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RPM International. If investors know RPM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RPM International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.132 | Dividend Share 1.84 | Earnings Share 4.77 | Revenue Per Share 57.068 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of RPM International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RPM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RPM International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RPM International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RPM International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RPM International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RPM International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RPM International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RPM International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.