Red River Bancshares Stock Price Prediction

RRBI Stock  USD 60.05  0.81  1.33%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Red River's stock price is under 66 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of December 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Red, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Red River's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Red River Bancshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Red River's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.135
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.18
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.735
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.07
Wall Street Target Price
66.5
Using Red River hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red River Bancshares from the perspective of Red River response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Red River to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Red because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Red River after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 60.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Red River Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.8757.7766.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
58.5560.4562.35
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.7858.0064.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.181.181.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Red River. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Red River's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Red River's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Red River Bancshares.

Red River After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Red River at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Red River or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Red River, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Red River Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Red River's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Red River's historical news coverage. Red River's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.43 and 62.23, respectively. We have considered Red River's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
60.05
60.33
After-hype Price
62.23
Upside
Red River is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Red River Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Red River Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Red River is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Red River backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Red River, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
1.90
  0.28 
  0.05 
7 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.05
60.33
0.47 
182.69  
Notes

Red River Hype Timeline

Red River Bancshares is at this time traded for 60.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Red is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 60.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 182.69%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Red River is about 971.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.00. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 108.46 M. Net Income was 34.88 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.64 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Red River Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Red River Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Red River's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Red River's future price movements. Getting to know how Red River's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Red River may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JPMJPMorgan Chase Co 0.58 7 per month 1.38  0.04  2.05 (2.00) 15.87 
CCitigroup(0.18)6 per month 1.47  0.05  3.56 (1.97) 10.33 
WFCWells Fargo(1.81)8 per month 1.33  0.14  3.60 (2.18) 16.76 
TDToronto Dominion Bank 0.20 8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.54 (1.40) 8.21 
BACBank of America(0.28)8 per month 0.65  0.09  2.19 (1.41) 9.84 
RYRoyal Bank of(0.75)7 per month 0.56 (0.04) 1.49 (0.90) 4.09 
HSBCHSBC Holdings PLC 0.25 8 per month 1.38 (0.01) 2.03 (2.34) 6.87 
UBSUBS Group AG 0.16 8 per month 1.59 (0.04) 2.32 (2.65) 7.85 
BCSBarclays PLC ADR 0.07 8 per month 1.94  0.04  3.35 (3.13) 10.17 

Red River Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Red River Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Red River stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Red River Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Red River based on analysis of Red River hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Red River's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Red River's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0052190.0054850.0056940.00365
Price To Sales Ratio4.093.53.765.02

Story Coverage note for Red River

The number of cover stories for Red River depends on current market conditions and Red River's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Red River is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Red River's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Red River Short Properties

Red River's future price predictability will typically decrease when Red River's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Red River Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Red River's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red River's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments305.4 M

Complementary Tools for Red Stock analysis

When running Red River's price analysis, check to measure Red River's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Red River is operating at the current time. Most of Red River's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Red River's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Red River's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Red River to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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