SECITS Holding (Sweden) Price Prediction

SECI Stock  SEK 0.04  0  5.41%   
At this time, the value of RSI of SECITS Holding's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling SECITS Holding, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of SECITS Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SECITS Holding AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using SECITS Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SECITS Holding AB from the perspective of SECITS Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SECITS Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SECITS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SECITS Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 0.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SECITS Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0312.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.0412.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.020.03
Details

SECITS Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SECITS Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SECITS Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SECITS Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SECITS Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SECITS Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SECITS Holding's historical news coverage. SECITS Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 12.90, respectively. We have considered SECITS Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.04
0.04
After-hype Price
12.90
Upside
SECITS Holding is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SECITS Holding AB is based on 3 months time horizon.

SECITS Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SECITS Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SECITS Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SECITS Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.03 
12.86
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.04
0.04
14.29 
0.00  
Notes

SECITS Holding Hype Timeline

SECITS Holding AB is at this time traded for 0.04on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. SECITS is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 14.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.03%. The volatility of related hype on SECITS Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. SECITS Holding AB has accumulated 12.08 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 88.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. SECITS Holding AB has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist SECITS Holding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, SECITS Holding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like SECITS Holding AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for SECITS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about SECITS Holding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out SECITS Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SECITS Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SECITS Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SECITS Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how SECITS Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SECITS Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SECITS Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SECITS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SECITS using various technical indicators. When you analyze SECITS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SECITS Holding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SECITS Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SECITS Holding AB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SECITS Holding based on analysis of SECITS Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SECITS Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SECITS Holding's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SECITS Holding

The number of cover stories for SECITS Holding depends on current market conditions and SECITS Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SECITS Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SECITS Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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SECITS Holding Short Properties

SECITS Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when SECITS Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SECITS Holding AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SECITS Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SECITS Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 M

Additional Tools for SECITS Stock Analysis

When running SECITS Holding's price analysis, check to measure SECITS Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SECITS Holding is operating at the current time. Most of SECITS Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SECITS Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SECITS Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SECITS Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.