Sword Group (France) Price Prediction
| SWP Stock | EUR 35.95 0.55 1.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sword Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sword Group SE from the perspective of Sword Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sword Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sword because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sword Group after-hype prediction price | EUR 35.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sword |
Sword Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sword Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sword Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sword Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sword Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sword Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sword Group's historical news coverage. Sword Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.33 and 37.47, respectively. We have considered Sword Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sword Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sword Group SE is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sword Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sword Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sword Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sword Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.95 | 35.40 | 0.00 |
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Sword Group Hype Timeline
Sword Group SE is at this time traded for 35.95on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sword is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sword Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.95. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sword Group was at this time reported as 10.55. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.0. Sword Group SE last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2022. The entity had 5:1 split on the 4th of May 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Sword Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sword Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sword Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sword Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Sword Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sword Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LIN | Linedata Services SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.05 | 3.33 | (2.44) | 11.03 | |
| ITP | Interparfums SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.56 | (3.44) | 11.16 | |
| ALESK | Esker SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.03 | 1.44 | (0.97) | 13.31 | |
| NRO | Neurones | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | (0.06) | 1.75 | (1.28) | 5.18 | |
| TRI | Trigano SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.66 | 0.06 | 3.93 | (3.34) | 15.14 |
Sword Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sword price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sword using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sword charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sword Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sword Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sword Group SE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sword Group based on analysis of Sword Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sword Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sword Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Sword Group
The number of cover stories for Sword Group depends on current market conditions and Sword Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sword Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sword Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sword Group Short Properties
Sword Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sword Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sword Group SE often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sword Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sword Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Sword Stock analysis
When running Sword Group's price analysis, check to measure Sword Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sword Group is operating at the current time. Most of Sword Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sword Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sword Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sword Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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