UMA Price Prediction
| UMA Crypto | USD 3.24 0.01 0.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using UMA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UMA from the perspective of UMA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UMA to buy its crypto coin at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UMA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell crypto coins at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
UMA after-hype prediction price | .CC 3.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
UMA |
UMA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of UMA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UMA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of UMA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
UMA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting UMA's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UMA's historical news coverage. UMA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 7.91, respectively. We have considered UMA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
UMA is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UMA is based on 3 months time horizon.
UMA Crypto Coin Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as UMA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UMA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UMA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 4.68 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.24 | 3.23 | 0.00 |
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UMA Hype Timeline
UMA is at this time traded for 3.24. This cryptocurrency is not elastic to its hype. The average crypto elasticity to the hype of similar coins is 0.04. UMA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on UMA is about 7354.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.28. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out UMA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.UMA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to UMA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UMA's future price movements. Getting to know how UMA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UMA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XRP | XRP | 0.01 | 6 per month | 2.01 | 0.28 | 16.88 | (3.70) | 31.55 | |
| SOL | Solana | (1.98) | 3 per month | 3.13 | 0.20 | 6.37 | (5.78) | 21.69 | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | 0.13 | 6.48 | (4.17) | 16.67 | |
| SUI | Sui | (0.06) | 1 per month | 3.27 | 0.35 | 15.64 | (5.83) | 28.32 | |
| TON | Toncoin | 0.11 | 3 per month | 3.19 | 0.05 | 4.82 | (4.70) | 25.61 | |
| WLD | Worldcoin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.11 | 0.16 | 14.84 | (6.80) | 33.99 | |
| XLM | Stellar | 0.01 | 1 per month | 2.39 | 0.29 | 30.00 | (3.62) | 68.33 | |
| AVAX | Avalanche | 1.29 | 1 per month | 3.60 | 0.19 | 11.70 | (6.16) | 24.68 | |
| LINK | Chainlink | 0.66 | 1 per month | 3.95 | 0.16 | 7.73 | (5.93) | 20.95 | |
| TRX | TRON | 0.01 | 1 per month | 2.23 | 0.07 | 6.67 | (6.25) | 28.27 | |
| APT | Aptos | 0.65 | 1 per month | 4.27 | 0.19 | 12.86 | (6.44) | 28.74 |
UMA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UMA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UMA using various technical indicators. When you analyze UMA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
The successful prediction of UMA price could yield a significant profit to cryptocurrency investors. Theoretically, the cryptocurrency market should be highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. The crypto trading ecosystem has experienced unprecedented growth over the last few years and continues accelerating irrespective of its volatilities and bubbles. In general, UMA and other cryptocurrencies react quickly to the market and adjust based on demand and supply. This implies that the cryptocurrency market is highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UMA based on UMA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UMA's market risk using different technical indicators and then compare them to UMA's related cryptocurrency tokens.
Story Coverage note for UMA
The number of cover stories for UMA depends on current market conditions and UMA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UMA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UMA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out UMA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.