Old Dominion Freight Stock Analysis

ODFL Stock  USD 224.11  1.86  0.82%   
Old Dominion Freight is undervalued with Real Value of 270.47 and Target Price of 417.94. The main objective of Old Dominion stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Old Dominion Freight is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Old Dominion's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Old Dominion stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Old Dominion Freight. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Old Stock Analysis Notes

About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.67. Old Dominion Freight last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of March 2024. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. operates as a less-than-truckload motor carrier in the United States and North America. Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. was founded in 1934 and is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina. Old Dominion operates under Trucking classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 24586 people. To find out more about Old Dominion Freight contact David Congdon at 336 889 5000 or learn more at https://www.odfl.com.

Old Dominion Quarterly Total Revenue

1.47 Billion

Old Dominion Freight Investment Alerts

Old Dominion Freight is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Old Dominion Freight has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
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Old Dominion Freight Upcoming and Recent Events

31st of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Old Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Old Dominion's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2010-04-28
2010-03-310.050.060.0120 
2010-01-28
2009-12-310.070.080.0114 
2008-04-22
2008-03-310.090.08-0.0111 
View All Earnings Estimates

Old Dominion Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Old Dominion's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Old Dominion's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Old Dominion's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Old Dominion's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Old Dominion Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Old Dominion stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Sport Products Idea
Sport Products
Sporting goods sport accessories
Railroads Idea
Railroads
Railroads and Railways

Old Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
2.5 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
1.7 M
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
1.4 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
1.4 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Lazard Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
22.3 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
16.3 M
Note, although Old Dominion's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Old Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 47.85 B.

Old Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.21 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.27 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.27.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.22  0.24 
Return On Capital Employed 0.33  0.35 
Return On Assets 0.22  0.24 
Return On Equity 0.29  0.31 

Management Efficiency

Old Dominion Freight has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1901 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1901 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.3024 %, meaning that it created $0.3024 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Old Dominion's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Old Dominion manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.24 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.35 this year. At this time, Old Dominion's Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 2.30 this year, although the value of Intangible Assets will most likely fall to about 20.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 19.46  20.43 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 19.46  20.43 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 22.37  23.48 
Price Book Value Ratio 10.42  10.94 
Enterprise Value Multiple 22.37  23.48 
Price Fair Value 10.42  10.94 
Enterprise Value44.1 B46.3 B
The strategic decisions made by Old Dominion management significantly impact its financial stability and market performance. Evaluating these factors helps determine whether the stock is a worthwhile investment.
Dividend Yield
0.0046
Operating Margin
0.2733
Profit Margin
0.2103
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0046
Beta
0.989

Technical Drivers

As of the 28th of November, Old Dominion holds the Semi Deviation of 2.11, coefficient of variation of 900.33, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0918. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Old Dominion, as well as the relationship between them. Please check Old Dominion Freight treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and downside variance to decide if Old Dominion Freight is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 224.11 per share. Given that Old Dominion has jensen alpha of 0.0214, we recommend you to check out Old Dominion Freight's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Old Dominion Freight Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Old Dominion middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Old Dominion Freight. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Old Dominion Freight Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Old Dominion insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Old Dominion's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Old Dominion insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Old Dominion Outstanding Bonds

Old Dominion issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Old Dominion Freight uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Old bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Old Dominion Freight has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Old Dominion Predictive Daily Indicators

Old Dominion intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Old Dominion stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Old Dominion Corporate Filings

F4
27th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
12th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
8th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
F4
4th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
29th of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Old Dominion Forecast Models

Old Dominion's time-series forecasting models are one of many Old Dominion's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Old Dominion's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Old Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Old Dominion prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Old Dominion. By using and applying Old Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Old entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.28  0.29 
Operating Profit Margin 0.28  0.29 
Net Profit Margin 0.21  0.22 
Gross Profit Margin 0.35  0.62 

Current Old Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Old analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Old analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
417.94Buy24Odds
Old Dominion Freight current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Old analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Old stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Old Dominion Freight, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Old conference calls.
Old Analyst Advice Details

Old Stock Analysis Indicators

Old Dominion Freight stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Old Dominion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Old Dominion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Old Dominion stock analysis, traders can identify Old Dominion position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow186.3 M
Long Term Debt60 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding220.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity4.3 B
Tax Provision408.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.071
Property Plant And Equipment Net4.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments433.8 M
Cash433.8 M
Accounts Payable112.8 M
Net Debt-233.4 M
50 Day M A205.116
Total Current Liabilities544.7 M
Other Operating Expenses4.2 B
Non Current Assets Total4.4 B
Forward Price Earnings37.4532
Non Currrent Assets Other157.3 M
Stock Based Compensation11.1 M
When determining whether Old Dominion Freight is a strong investment it is important to analyze Old Dominion's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Old Dominion's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Old Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Old Dominion Freight. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Dominion. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Dominion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
0.98
Earnings Share
5.67
Revenue Per Share
27.363
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Old Dominion Freight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Dominion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Dominion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Dominion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Dominion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.