Zto Express Stock Analysis

ZTO Stock  USD 19.00  0.21  1.09%   
ZTO Express is undervalued with Real Value of 24.26 and Target Price of 38.11. The main objective of ZTO Express stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what ZTO Express is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of ZTO Express' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The ZTO Express stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. ZTO Express is usually not traded on Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day. ZTO Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.

ZTO Stock Analysis Notes

About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ZTO Express has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of September 2024. ZTO Express Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the Peoples Republic of China. Zto Express operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 23865 people. For more information please call Meisong Lai at 86 21 5980 4508 or visit https://www.zto.com.

ZTO Express Quarterly Total Revenue

10.68 Billion

ZTO Express Investment Alerts

ZTO Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
ZTO Express has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
On 17th of October 2024 ZTO Express paid $ 0.35 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: ZTO Express Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Parcel Growth and ...

ZTO Express Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by ZTO Express to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period..
20th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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15th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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20th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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ZTO Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact ZTO Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-05-20
2020-03-310.720.820.113 
2018-05-09
2018-03-310.970.78-0.1919 
2021-03-17
2020-12-311.781.55-0.2312 
View All Earnings Estimates

ZTO Express Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

ZTO Express' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates ZTO Express' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of ZTO Express' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect ZTO Express' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

ZTO Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Serenity Capital Management Pte Ltd.2024-09-30
5.1 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-09-30
3.7 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
3.7 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
3.5 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-09-30
3.3 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
3.2 M
Hillhouse Capital Advisors, Ltd.2024-09-30
M
Tiger Pacific Capital Lp2024-09-30
2.8 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
2.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
17.6 M
Junked Platinum Investment Management Ltd2024-09-30
15.6 M
Note, although ZTO Express' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ZTO Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 15.55 B.

ZTO Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.21 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.3 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.3 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.11  0.15 
Return On Capital Employed 0.15  0.15 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.15  0.14 

Management Efficiency

ZTO Express has Return on Asset of 0.0775 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0775 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.147 %, implying that it generated $0.147 on every 100 dollars invested. ZTO Express' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well ZTO Express manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, ZTO Express' Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of December 2024, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.15, while Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.14. At this time, ZTO Express' Asset Turnover is very stable compared to the past year.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 73.05  76.70 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 61.05  64.10 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.01  8.56 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.04  1.93 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.01  8.56 
Price Fair Value 2.04  1.93 
Enterprise Value124.8 B157.9 B
Understanding the operational decisions made by ZTO Express management offers insights into its financial robustness. This evaluation is crucial for assessing the stock's investment potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0461
Operating Margin
0.2998
Profit Margin
0.2124
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0461
Beta
(0.09)

Technical Drivers

As of the 2nd of December, ZTO Express maintains the Mean Deviation of 1.83, standard deviation of 2.41, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check available technical drivers of ZTO Express, as well as the relationship between them.

ZTO Express Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was thirty-five with a total number of output elements of twenty-six. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. ZTO Express middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for ZTO Express. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

ZTO Express Outstanding Bonds

ZTO Express issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. ZTO Express uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most ZTO bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when ZTO Express has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

ZTO Express Predictive Daily Indicators

ZTO Express intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of ZTO Express stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

ZTO Express Corporate Filings

6K
29th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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6K
20th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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13A
6th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
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6K
5th of November 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
22nd of October 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
2nd of October 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
13th of September 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
4th of September 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

ZTO Express Forecast Models

ZTO Express' time-series forecasting models are one of many ZTO Express' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary ZTO Express' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About ZTO Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how ZTO Express prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling ZTO shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as ZTO Express. By using and applying ZTO Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying ZTO entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.28  0.28 
Operating Profit Margin 0.26  0.24 
Net Profit Margin 0.23  0.16 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.32 

Current ZTO Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. ZTO analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. ZTO analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
38.11Strong Buy21Odds
ZTO Express current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most ZTO analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand ZTO stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of ZTO Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to ZTO conference calls.
ZTO Analyst Advice Details

ZTO Stock Analysis Indicators

ZTO Express stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how ZTO Express stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading ZTO Express shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying ZTO Express stock analysis, traders can identify ZTO Express position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow12.6 B
Total Stockholder Equity59.8 B
Capital Lease Obligations642.1 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net32.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments19.9 B
Cash12.3 B
50 Day M A23.2036
Net Interest Income313.3 M
Total Current Liabilities20.1 B
Forward Price Earnings10.4167
Investments-17.8 B
Interest Expense289.5 M
Stock Based Compensation255 M
Long Term DebtB
Common Stock Shares Outstanding838.9 M
Tax Provision1.8 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.028
Accounts Payable2.6 B
Net Debt3.1 B
Other Operating Expenses28.4 B
Non Current Assets Total61.5 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity88.5 B
Non Currrent Assets Other3.1 B
When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.028
Earnings Share
1.44
Revenue Per Share
50.089
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.101
Return On Assets
0.0775
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.