First National Corp Stock Alpha and Beta Analysis

FXNC Stock  USD 24.05  0.08  0.33%   
This module allows you to check different measures of market premium (i.e., alpha and beta) for all equities such as First National Corp. It also helps investors analyze the systematic and unsystematic risks associated with investing in First National over a specified time horizon. Remember, high First National's alpha is almost always a sign of good performance; however, a high beta will depend on investors' risk tolerance level and may signal increased volatility and potential future overvaluation. Key technical indicators related to First National's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
(0.03)
Alpha
0.47
Risk
1.82
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Expected Return
0.53
Please note that although First National alpha is a measure of relative return and represented here as a single number, it indicates the percentage above or below your selected benchmark (i.e., Dow Jones Industrial index.) So in this particular case, First National did 0.47  better than the index. Remember, a high alpha is always good. Beta, on the other hand, measures the volatility (or risk) of an investment. It is an indication of First National Corp stock's relative risk over its benchmark. First National Corp has a beta of 0.03  . As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First National are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First National is likely to outperform the market. The current year's Book Value Per Share is expected to grow to 19.49. The current year's Tangible Book Value Per Share is expected to grow to 18.96.

Enterprise Value

119.4 Million

Alpha is a measure of relative performance on a risk-adjusted basis, while beta measures volatility against the benchmark. The goal is to know if an investor is being compensated for the volatility risk taken. The return on investment might be better than its reference but still not compensate for the assumption of the risk.
  
Check out First National Backtesting, First National Valuation, First National Correlation, First National Hype Analysis, First National Volatility, First National History and analyze First National Performance.

First National Market Premiums

Investors always prefer to have the highest possible return on investment, coupled with the lowest possible volatility. First National market risk premium is the additional return an investor will receive from holding First National long position in a well-diversified portfolio. The market premium is part of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which most analysts and investors use to calculate the acceptable rate of return on investment in First National. At the center of the CAPM is the concept of risk and reward, which is usually communicated by investors using alpha and beta measures. Alpha and beta are two of the key measurements used to evaluate First National's performance over market.
α0.47   β-0.03

First National expected buy-and-hold returns

Although buy-and-hold investment strategy may not appeal to all investors, it may be used as a good measure of First National's Buy-and-hold return. Our buy-and-hold chart shows how First National performed over your current time horizon against a typical interest-earning bank account and a selected benchmark.

First National Market Price Analysis

Market price analysis indicators help investors to evaluate how First National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying First National stock market price indicators, traders can identify First National position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

First National Return and Market Media

The median price of First National for the period between Sun, Sep 29, 2024 and Sat, Dec 28, 2024 is 22.41 with a coefficient of variation of 12.24. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 2.68, arithmetic mean of 21.87, and mean deviation of 2.36. The Stock received a lot of media exposure during the period.
 Price Growth (%)  
       Timeline  
1
Disposition of 529 shares by Bell Michael Shane of First National at 18.94 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/10/2024
2
Acquisition by Holt George Edwin Iii of 597 shares of First National at 14.75 subject to Rule 16b-3
10/24/2024
3
First National Bank Alaska Announces Unaudited Results for Third Quarter 2024
11/07/2024
4
First National Is a Great Choice for Trend Investors, Heres Why
11/08/2024
5
Fourthstone LLC Increases Stake in First National Corp
11/14/2024
6
Acquisition by Cottrell Elizabeth H of 1500 shares of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
11/18/2024
7
Acquisition by Scott Harvard of 19725 shares of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2024
8
Disposition of 1500 shares by Scott Harvard of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2024
9
Insider Trading
12/02/2024
10
First National Corporations top owners are retail investors with 59 percent stake, while 18 percent is held by institutions
12/09/2024
11
Disposition of 6186 shares by Gerald Smith of First National at 24.86 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/16/2024
12
Disposition of 6186 shares by Gerald Smith of First National subject to Rule 16b-3
12/17/2024

About First National Beta and Alpha

For many years both, Alpha and Beta indicators are used by professional money managers as critical performance measurement tools across virtually all financial instruments including First or other stocks. Alpha measures the amount that position in First National Corp has returned in comparison to a selected market index or another relevant benchmark. In other words, Alpha is the excess return on an investment relative to the performance of your selected benchmark. Beta, on the other hand, measures the relative risk of your investment.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01960.03090.02640.034
Price To Sales Ratio2.841.882.785.2

First National Upcoming Company Events

As portrayed in its financial statements, the presentation of First National's financial position is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, First National's leadership is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, investors should always follow all of First National's public filing events to personally review all filings and be reasonable and skeptical to interpret all of the financial statements of First National. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of First National's management manipulating its earnings.
25th of January 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
25th of January 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Align your risk with return expectations

By capturing your risk tolerance and investment horizon Macroaxis technology of instant portfolio optimization will compute exactly how much risk is acceptable for your desired return expectations
When determining whether First National Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First National Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First National Corp Stock:
First National technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of First National technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of First National trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...