Agrogeneration (France) Volatility
| ALAGR Stock | EUR 0.06 0 4.58% |
Currently, Agrogeneration is out of control. Agrogeneration secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0275, which signifies that the company had a 0.0275% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Agrogeneration, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Agrogeneration's Mean Deviation of 4.12, risk adjusted performance of 0.0394, and Downside Deviation of 4.96 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Key indicators related to Agrogeneration's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Agrogeneration Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Agrogeneration daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Agrogeneration's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Agrogeneration volatility.
Agrogeneration |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Agrogeneration can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Agrogeneration at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Agrogeneration stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Agrogeneration's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving against Agrogeneration Stock
| 0.7 | ATO | Atos SE | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | AXW | Axway Software | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | EL | EssilorLuxottica S | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | PARRO | Parrot | PairCorr |
Agrogeneration Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Agrogeneration's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Agrogeneration stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Agrogeneration stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Agrogeneration's beta of -0.98 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Agrogeneration stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Agrogeneration exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Agrogeneration is a penny stock. Although Agrogeneration may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Agrogeneration. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Agrogeneration instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Agrogeneration Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Agrogeneration correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Agrogeneration Beta |
Agrogeneration standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 6.0 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Agrogeneration's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Agrogeneration's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in agrogeneration stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Agrogeneration.
Agrogeneration Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Agrogeneration stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Agrogeneration's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Agrogeneration's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Agrogeneration's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Agrogeneration's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Agrogeneration's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Agrogeneration's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Agrogeneration's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Agrogeneration Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Agrogeneration Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Agrogeneration has a beta of -0.9821 . This suggestsMost traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agrogeneration or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agrogeneration's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agrogeneration stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Agrogeneration has an alpha of 0.244, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Agrogeneration Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Agrogeneration Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Agrogeneration is 3629.94. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 36.02 and standard deviation of 6.0. The mean deviation of Agrogeneration is currently at 4.08. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.79
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Agrogeneration Stock Return Volatility
Agrogeneration historical daily return volatility represents how much of Agrogeneration stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise accepts 6.002% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8043% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Agrogeneration Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Agrogeneration or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Agrogeneration may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Agrogeneration's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Agrogeneration and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Agrogeneration fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.AgroGeneration SA, an agricultural company, engages in grain and oil commodity crop farming primarily in Ukraine. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Paris, France. AGROGENERATION operates under Farm Products classification in France and is traded on Paris Stock Exchange. It employs 1300 people.
Agrogeneration's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Agrogeneration Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Agrogeneration's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Agrogeneration's volatility to invest better
Higher Agrogeneration's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Agrogeneration stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Agrogeneration stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Agrogeneration investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Agrogeneration's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Agrogeneration's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Agrogeneration Investment Opportunity
Agrogeneration has a volatility of 6.0 and is 7.5 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 53 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Agrogeneration. You can use Agrogeneration to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Agrogeneration to be traded at €0.0743 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Agrogeneration and DJI is -0.13 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Agrogeneration and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Agrogeneration Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Agrogeneration's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Agrogeneration's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Agrogeneration stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0394 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.22) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.49 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 4.96 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2577.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Agrogeneration Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Agrogeneration as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Agrogeneration's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Agrogeneration's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Agrogeneration.
Additional Tools for Agrogeneration Stock Analysis
When running Agrogeneration's price analysis, check to measure Agrogeneration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agrogeneration is operating at the current time. Most of Agrogeneration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agrogeneration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agrogeneration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agrogeneration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.