Lucibel (France) Volatility

ALUCI Stock  EUR 0.12  0.01  7.69%   
Lucibel has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0996, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0996% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Lucibel exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Lucibel's Standard Deviation of 6.49, risk adjusted performance of (0.08), and Mean Deviation of 4.03 to check out the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Lucibel's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Lucibel Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Lucibel daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Lucibel's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Lucibel volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Lucibel can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Lucibel at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Lucibel stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Lucibel's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Lucibel Stock

  0.65ALAGP Agripower FrancePairCorr
  0.74BAIN Bains Mer MonacoPairCorr
  0.86ALALO Acheter Louer SplitPairCorr

Moving against Lucibel Stock

  0.83ALO Alstom SAPairCorr
  0.82MLCFD Compagnie de CheminsPairCorr
  0.82AC Accor S APairCorr
  0.79NEOEN Neoen SAPairCorr
  0.76SCR SCOR SEPairCorr
  0.75ALKKO Kko InternationalPairCorr
  0.69TE Technip EnergiesPairCorr
  0.56RNO Renault SAPairCorr
  0.37ATO Atos SEPairCorr

Lucibel Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Lucibel's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Lucibel stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Lucibel stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Lucibel's beta of -2.36 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Lucibel stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Lucibel is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Lucibel is a potential penny stock. Although Lucibel may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Lucibel. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Lucibel instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Lucibel Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Lucibel correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Lucibel Beta

    
  -2.36  
Lucibel standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  6.57  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Lucibel's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Lucibel's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in lucibel stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Lucibel.

Lucibel Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Lucibel stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Lucibel's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Lucibel's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Lucibel's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Lucibel's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Lucibel's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Lucibel's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Lucibel's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Lucibel Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Lucibel Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lucibel has a beta of -2.3599 . This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Lucibel are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Lucibel is expected to outperform its benchmark.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lucibel or Electrical Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lucibel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lucibel stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Lucibel has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Lucibel's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how lucibel stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Lucibel Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Lucibel Stock Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Lucibel is -1003.54. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 43.15 and standard deviation of 6.57. The mean deviation of Lucibel is currently at 4.06. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.8
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.36
σ
Overall volatility
6.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Lucibel Stock Return Volatility

Lucibel historical daily return volatility represents how much of Lucibel stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise accepts 6.569% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8089% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Lucibel Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Lucibel or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Lucibel may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Lucibel's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Lucibel and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Lucibel fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Lucibel SA designs, manufactures, and markets lighting products and solutions based on LED technology in France and internationally. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Rueil-Malmaison, France. LUCIBEL operates under Electronic Components classification in France and is traded on Paris Stock Exchange. It employs 131 people.
Lucibel's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Lucibel Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Lucibel's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Lucibel's volatility to invest better

Higher Lucibel's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Lucibel stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Lucibel stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Lucibel investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Lucibel's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Lucibel's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Lucibel Investment Opportunity

Lucibel has a volatility of 6.57 and is 8.11 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 58 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Lucibel. You can use Lucibel to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Lucibel to be traded at €0.114 in 90 days.

Very good diversification

The correlation between Lucibel and DJI is -0.29 (i.e., Very good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lucibel and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Lucibel Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lucibel's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lucibel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Lucibel stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Lucibel Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Lucibel as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Lucibel's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Lucibel's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Lucibel.

Additional Tools for Lucibel Stock Analysis

When running Lucibel's price analysis, check to measure Lucibel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucibel is operating at the current time. Most of Lucibel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucibel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucibel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucibel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.