Pt Gudang Garam Stock Volatility
GGNPF Stock | USD 1.14 0.00 0.00% |
We have found three technical indicators for PT Gudang, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Key indicators related to PT Gudang's volatility include:
720 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 720 Days Economic Sensitivity |
PT Gudang Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of GGNPF daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use GGNPF's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of PT Gudang volatility.
GGNPF |
PT Gudang Garam Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which PT Gudang pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with PT Gudang's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of PT Gudang's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of PT Gudang's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures PT Gudang's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict PT Gudang's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for PT Gudang's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on PT Gudang's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. PT Gudang Garam Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
PT Gudang Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon PT Gudang has a beta that is very close to zero . This usually indicates the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and PT Gudang do not appear to be reactive.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PT Gudang or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PT Gudang's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GGNPF pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
It does not look like PT Gudang's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives a PT Gudang Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.PT Gudang Pink Sheet Return Volatility
PT Gudang historical daily return volatility represents how much of PT Gudang pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.8097% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About PT Gudang Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of PT Gudang or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of PT Gudang may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to GGNPF's beta indicator, it measures the risk of PT Gudang and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of PT Gudang fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.PT Gudang Garam Tbk produces and sells cigarettes in Indonesia and internationally. PT Gudang Garam Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Suryaduta Investama. Pt Gudang operates under Tobacco classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 32389 people.
PT Gudang's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on GGNPF Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much PT Gudang's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize PT Gudang's volatility to invest better
Higher PT Gudang's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of PT Gudang Garam stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. PT Gudang Garam stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of PT Gudang Garam investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in PT Gudang's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of PT Gudang's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
PT Gudang Investment Opportunity
Dow Jones Industrial has a standard deviation of returns of 0.81 and is 9.223372036854776E16 times more volatile than PT Gudang Garam. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of PT Gudang Garam is lower than 0 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use PT Gudang Garam to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of PT Gudang to be traded at $1.1286 in 90 days.Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
PT Gudang Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against PT Gudang as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. PT Gudang's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, PT Gudang's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to PT Gudang Garam.
Complementary Tools for GGNPF Pink Sheet analysis
When running PT Gudang's price analysis, check to measure PT Gudang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PT Gudang is operating at the current time. Most of PT Gudang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PT Gudang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PT Gudang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PT Gudang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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