Universal Security Instruments Stock Volatility
| UUU Stock | USD 2.31 0.10 4.52% |
Universal Security is dangerous given 3 months investment horizon. Universal Security owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the firm had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We are able to break down and analyze data for twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.13% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Universal Security Coefficient Of Variation of 602.92, risk adjusted performance of 0.1288, and Semi Deviation of 2.22 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Universal Security's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Universal Security Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Universal daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Universal's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Universal Security volatility.
Universal |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Universal Security's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Universal Security's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Universal Security can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Universal Security at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Universal stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Universal Security's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Universal Stock
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| 0.92 | CLS | Celestica | PairCorr |
| 0.91 | CTS | CTS Corporation | PairCorr |
Moving against Universal Stock
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| 0.69 | DM | Desktop Metal | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | JNPR | Juniper Networks | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | STX | Seagate Technology PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | INVZW | Innoviz Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | VSH | Vishay Intertechnology | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | INFN | Infinera Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
Universal Security Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Universal Security's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Universal stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Universal stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Universal Security's beta of 0.46 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Universal Security stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Universal Security Instruments is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal Security's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal Security's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Universal Security Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Universal Security correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Universal Beta |
Universal standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 7.1 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Universal Security's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Universal Security's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in universal stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Universal Security.
Universal Security Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Universal Security stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Universal Security's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Universal Security's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Universal Security's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Universal Security's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Universal Security's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Universal Security's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Universal Security's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Universal Security Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Universal Security Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Universal Security has a beta of 0.4641 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Universal Security average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Universal Security Instruments will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal Security or Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal Security's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Universal Security Instruments has an alpha of 1.1002, implying that it can generate a 1.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Universal Security Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Universal Security Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Universal Security is 626.56. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 50.41 and standard deviation of 7.1. The mean deviation of Universal Security Instruments is currently at 3.17. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.72
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Universal Security Stock Return Volatility
Universal Security historical daily return volatility represents how much of Universal Security stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 7.0997% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7328% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Universal Security Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Universal Security or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Universal Security may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Universal's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Universal Security and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Universal Security fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 450 K | 400 K | |
| Market Cap | 3.7 M | 3.5 M |
Universal Security's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Universal Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Universal Security's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Universal Security's volatility to invest better
Higher Universal Security's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Universal Security stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Universal Security stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Universal Security investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Universal Security's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Universal Security's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Universal Security Investment Opportunity
Universal Security Instruments has a volatility of 7.1 and is 9.73 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 63 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Universal Security. You can use Universal Security Instruments to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Universal Security to be traded at $2.89 in 90 days.Significant diversification
The correlation between Universal Security Instruments and DJI is 0.05 (i.e., Significant diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Universal Security Instruments and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Universal Security Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Universal Security's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Universal Security's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Universal Security stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1288 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 2.5 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 602.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.01 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Universal Security Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Universal Security as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Universal Security's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Universal Security's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Universal Security Instruments.
Additional Tools for Universal Stock Analysis
When running Universal Security's price analysis, check to measure Universal Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Security is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.