Dewata Freight Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DEAL Stock   6.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dewata Freight International on the next trading day is expected to be 6.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Dewata Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Dewata Freight works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Dewata Freight Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dewata Freight International on the next trading day is expected to be 6.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dewata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dewata Freight's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dewata Freight Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dewata Freight Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dewata Freight's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dewata Freight's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.00 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Dewata Freight's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.00
6.00
Expected Value
6.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dewata Freight stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dewata Freight stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Dewata Freight International prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Dewata Freight International trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Dewata Freight observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Dewata Freight

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dewata Freight Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.006.006.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.006.006.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dewata Freight

For every potential investor in Dewata, whether a beginner or expert, Dewata Freight's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dewata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dewata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dewata Freight's price trends.

Dewata Freight Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dewata Freight stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dewata Freight could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dewata Freight by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dewata Freight Inter Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dewata Freight's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dewata Freight's current price.

Dewata Freight Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dewata Freight stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dewata Freight shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dewata Freight stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dewata Freight International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Dewata Stock

Dewata Freight financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dewata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dewata with respect to the benefits of owning Dewata Freight security.