Dewata Freight Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DEAL Stock   6.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dewata Freight International on the next trading day is expected to be 6.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Dewata Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Dewata Freight is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dewata Freight International value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dewata Freight Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dewata Freight International on the next trading day is expected to be 6.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dewata Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dewata Freight's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dewata Freight Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dewata Freight Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dewata Freight's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dewata Freight's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.00 and 6.00, respectively. We have considered Dewata Freight's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.00
6.00
Expected Value
6.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dewata Freight stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dewata Freight stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Dewata Freight International. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dewata Freight. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dewata Freight

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dewata Freight Inter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.006.006.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.006.006.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dewata Freight

For every potential investor in Dewata, whether a beginner or expert, Dewata Freight's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dewata Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dewata. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dewata Freight's price trends.

Dewata Freight Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dewata Freight stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dewata Freight could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dewata Freight by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dewata Freight Inter Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dewata Freight's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dewata Freight's current price.

Dewata Freight Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dewata Freight stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dewata Freight shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dewata Freight stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dewata Freight International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Dewata Stock

Dewata Freight financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dewata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dewata with respect to the benefits of owning Dewata Freight security.