Xiangyu Medical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.53

688626 Stock   30.53  0.67  2.15%   
Xiangyu Medical's future price is the expected price of Xiangyu Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xiangyu Medical Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xiangyu Medical Backtesting, Xiangyu Medical Valuation, Xiangyu Medical Correlation, Xiangyu Medical Hype Analysis, Xiangyu Medical Volatility, Xiangyu Medical History as well as Xiangyu Medical Performance.
  
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Xiangyu Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 30.53

The tendency of Xiangyu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.53 90 days 30.53 
about 21.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xiangyu Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 21.28 (This Xiangyu Medical Co probability density function shows the probability of Xiangyu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xiangyu Medical has a beta of 0.0877. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Xiangyu Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xiangyu Medical Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xiangyu Medical Co has an alpha of 0.3578, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xiangyu Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xiangyu Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xiangyu Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.1832.8437.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8024.4633.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.9329.6034.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.4031.1731.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xiangyu Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xiangyu Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xiangyu Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xiangyu Medical.

Xiangyu Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xiangyu Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xiangyu Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xiangyu Medical Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xiangyu Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
3.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Xiangyu Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xiangyu Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xiangyu Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xiangyu Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Xiangyu Medical Co.,Ltd announces an Equity Buyback for CNY 100 million worth of its shares. - Marketscreener.com

Xiangyu Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xiangyu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xiangyu Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xiangyu Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding160 M

Xiangyu Medical Technical Analysis

Xiangyu Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xiangyu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xiangyu Medical Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xiangyu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xiangyu Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Xiangyu Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xiangyu Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xiangyu Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xiangyu Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xiangyu Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xiangyu Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xiangyu Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Xiangyu Medical Co.,Ltd announces an Equity Buyback for CNY 100 million worth of its shares. - Marketscreener.com

Other Information on Investing in Xiangyu Stock

Xiangyu Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xiangyu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xiangyu with respect to the benefits of owning Xiangyu Medical security.