Elf Beauty Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ELF Stock | USD 129.52 2.37 1.86% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ELF Beauty is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides ELF Beauty buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ELF positions.
Check out ELF Beauty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in ELF Stock please use our How to Invest in ELF Beauty guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ELF and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. ELF Beauty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
ELF |
Execute ELF Beauty Buy or Sell Advice
The ELF recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ELF Beauty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ELF Beauty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ELF Beauty's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
ELF Beauty Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| ELF Beauty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| ELF Beauty has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from pbs.org: Brains and Beauty exhibit explores how the mind processes art and aesthetic experiences |
ELF Beauty Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of ELF Beauty's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ELF Beauty's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ELF Beauty daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ELF Beauty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ELF Beauty returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ELF Beauty.
| Mean Return | -0.19 | Value At Risk | -6.37 | Potential Upside | 3.98 | Standard Deviation | 3.60 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ELF Beauty historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
ELF Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Champlain Investment Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 955.1 K | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2024-06-30 | 784.2 K | Swedbank Ab | 2024-09-30 | 700 K | Zevenbergen Capital Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 636.1 K | Fuller & Thaler Asset Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 631.8 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 608.3 K | Atlantic Trust Group, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 596.1 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 577.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.4 M | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2024-09-30 | 5.3 M |
ELF Beauty Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 16.3M | (435K) | (10.9M) | (27.7M) | 3.2M | (93.9M) | |
| Investments | (8.9M) | (35.3M) | (6.5M) | (4.8M) | (1.7M) | (284.7M) | |
| Change In Cash | 41.1M | (7.7M) | 11.6M | (14.4M) | 77.4M | (12.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 46.7M | 34.9M | 23.0M | 14.7M | 100.2M | 62.5M | |
| Depreciation | 17.9M | 22.8M | 25.2M | 27.1M | 22.2M | 35.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 8.9M | 9.4M | 6.5M | 4.8M | 1.7M | 8.7M | |
| Net Income | 15.5M | 17.9M | 6.2M | 21.8M | 61.5M | 127.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 51.2M | 46.2M | 57.8M | 43.4M | 120.8M | 108.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 16.4M | 12.8M | 14.1M | 17.0M | 23.1M | 11.0M |
ELF Beauty Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ELF Beauty or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ELF Beauty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ELF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
ELF Beauty Volatility Alert
ELF Beauty exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.54 and kurtosis of 2.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ELF Beauty's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ELF Beauty's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.ELF Beauty Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing ELF Beauty's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ELF Beauty's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ELF Beauty and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ELF Beauty or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ELF Beauty's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ELF Beauty by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare ELF Beauty to competition |
| Fundamentals | ELF Beauty | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0812 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.09 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.09 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.37 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 56.33 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.63 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.37 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.54 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 483.60 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 9.84 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.88 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.02 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 251.73 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 188.31 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 127.66 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 120.78 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.38 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 290.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.34 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.51 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.92 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 71.15 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.96 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.84 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.03 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 158.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 475 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.44 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.16 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.13 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (294.34 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 177.96 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 869 shares by Josh Franks of ELF Beauty at 210.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
ELF Beauty Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ELF . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 20387.26 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8034 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 129.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 129.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.68 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.37 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 65.73 |
About ELF Beauty Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell ELF Beauty? Buying financial instruments such as ELF Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having ELF Beauty in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Companies involved in medical and pharmaceutical drug research, manufacturing, and delivery. The Drugs theme has 45 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Drugs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out ELF Beauty Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in ELF Stock please use our How to Invest in ELF Beauty guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ELF Beauty. If investors know ELF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ELF Beauty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share 1.84 | Revenue Per Share 21.846 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.397 | Return On Assets 0.0812 |
The market value of ELF Beauty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ELF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ELF Beauty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ELF Beauty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ELF Beauty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ELF Beauty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ELF Beauty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ELF Beauty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ELF Beauty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.