Elf Beauty Stock Volatility
ELF Stock | USD 129.52 2.37 1.86% |
ELF Beauty secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0175, which denotes the company had a -0.0175% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ELF Beauty exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ELF Beauty's standard deviation of 3.6, and Mean Deviation of 2.64 to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to ELF Beauty's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
ELF Beauty Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of ELF daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use ELF's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of ELF Beauty volatility.
ELF |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, ELF Beauty's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to ELF Beauty's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
ELF Beauty Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which ELF Beauty stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with ELF Beauty's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of ELF Beauty's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of ELF Beauty's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures ELF Beauty's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict ELF Beauty's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for ELF Beauty's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on ELF Beauty's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. ELF Beauty Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
ELF Beauty Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ELF Beauty has a beta of 0.9985 suggesting ELF Beauty market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ELF Beauty is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ELF Beauty or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ELF Beauty's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ELF stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
ELF Beauty has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
Returns |
What Drives an ELF Beauty Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.ELF Beauty Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of ELF Beauty is -5703.47. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 12.92 and standard deviation of 3.59. The mean deviation of ELF Beauty is currently at 2.64. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
ELF Beauty Stock Return Volatility
ELF Beauty historical daily return volatility represents how much of ELF Beauty stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 3.5948% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7502% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
Timeline |
About ELF Beauty Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of ELF Beauty or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of ELF Beauty may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to ELF's beta indicator, it measures the risk of ELF Beauty and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of ELF Beauty fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Selling And Marketing Expenses | 306.2 M | 321.6 M | |
Market Cap | 10.5 B | 405.5 M |
ELF Beauty's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on ELF Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much ELF Beauty's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize ELF Beauty's volatility to invest better
Higher ELF Beauty's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of ELF Beauty stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. ELF Beauty stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of ELF Beauty investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in ELF Beauty's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of ELF Beauty's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
ELF Beauty Investment Opportunity
ELF Beauty has a volatility of 3.59 and is 4.79 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of ELF Beauty is lower than 32 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use ELF Beauty to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of ELF Beauty to be traded at $142.47 in 90 days.Modest diversification
The correlation between ELF Beauty and DJI is 0.21 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding ELF Beauty and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
ELF Beauty Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of ELF Beauty's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ELF Beauty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of ELF Beauty stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.19) | |||
Mean Deviation | 2.64 | |||
Coefficient Of Variation | (1,879) | |||
Standard Deviation | 3.6 | |||
Variance | 12.99 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
ELF Beauty Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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Microsoft vs. ELF Beauty | ||
Dupont De vs. ELF Beauty | ||
Alphabet vs. ELF Beauty | ||
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against ELF Beauty as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. ELF Beauty's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, ELF Beauty's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to ELF Beauty.
Complementary Tools for ELF Stock analysis
When running ELF Beauty's price analysis, check to measure ELF Beauty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ELF Beauty is operating at the current time. Most of ELF Beauty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ELF Beauty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ELF Beauty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ELF Beauty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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