Beijing Originwater (China) Price Prediction

300070 Stock   5.91  0.01  0.17%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Beijing Originwater's share price is at 54. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Beijing Originwater, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Beijing Originwater's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Beijing Originwater Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Beijing Originwater's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.92)
Wall Street Target Price
5.8
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.38)
Using Beijing Originwater hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Beijing Originwater Technology from the perspective of Beijing Originwater response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Beijing Originwater to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Beijing because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Beijing Originwater after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 5.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Beijing Originwater Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.296.4911.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.395.5910.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Originwater. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Originwater's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Originwater's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Originwater.

Beijing Originwater After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Beijing Originwater at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Beijing Originwater or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Beijing Originwater, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Beijing Originwater Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Beijing Originwater's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Beijing Originwater's historical news coverage. Beijing Originwater's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.76 and 11.16, respectively. We have considered Beijing Originwater's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.91
5.96
After-hype Price
11.16
Upside
Beijing Originwater is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Beijing Originwater is based on 3 months time horizon.

Beijing Originwater Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Beijing Originwater is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Beijing Originwater backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Beijing Originwater, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.19 
5.16
  0.06 
  0.53 
2 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.91
5.96
1.02 
10,320  
Notes

Beijing Originwater Hype Timeline

Beijing Originwater is presently traded for 5.91on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.53. Beijing is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 1.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.19%. The volatility of related hype on Beijing Originwater is about 1153.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.44. The company reported the revenue of 8.76 B. Net Income was 1.08 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.79 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Beijing Originwater Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Beijing Originwater Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Beijing Originwater's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Beijing Originwater's future price movements. Getting to know how Beijing Originwater's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Beijing Originwater may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
600498Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies 0.17 4 per month 2.28  0.1  4.93 (4.17) 16.52 
603551AUPU Home Style 0.00 0 per month 1.62  0.10  3.98 (3.07) 12.26 
601121Xinjiang Baodi Mining(0.15)1 per month 2.28  0.08  3.88 (2.99) 17.72 
600243Qinghaihuading Industrial Co 0.00 0 per month 2.68  0.24  9.96 (4.38) 18.02 
002397Hunan Mendale Hometextile 0.00 0 per month 2.36  0.19  5.75 (3.46) 19.18 
003033Qingdao Choho Industrial 0.27 1 per month 2.27  0.1  4.49 (3.37) 17.03 
603833Oppein Home Group 3.00 3 per month 2.65  0.19  8.19 (3.67) 20.00 
000785Easyhome New Retail 0.29 2 per month 2.45  0.13  6.55 (3.45) 16.47 

Beijing Originwater Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Beijing price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Beijing using various technical indicators. When you analyze Beijing charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Beijing Originwater Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Beijing Originwater stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Beijing Originwater Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Beijing Originwater based on analysis of Beijing Originwater hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Beijing Originwater's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Beijing Originwater's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Beijing Originwater

The number of cover stories for Beijing Originwater depends on current market conditions and Beijing Originwater's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Beijing Originwater is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Beijing Originwater's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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When running Beijing Originwater's price analysis, check to measure Beijing Originwater's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Beijing Originwater is operating at the current time. Most of Beijing Originwater's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Beijing Originwater's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Beijing Originwater's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Beijing Originwater to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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