New Trend (China) Price Prediction
| 300532 Stock | 12.11 0.48 3.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.75) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.48) |
Using New Trend hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Trend International from the perspective of New Trend response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in New Trend to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying New because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
New Trend after-hype prediction price | CNY 12.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
New |
New Trend After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New Trend at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New Trend or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of New Trend, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
New Trend Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New Trend's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New Trend's historical news coverage. New Trend's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.42 and 17.76, respectively. We have considered New Trend's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New Trend is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New Trend International is based on 3 months time horizon.
New Trend Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as New Trend is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New Trend backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New Trend, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 5.17 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.11 | 12.59 | 0.00 |
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New Trend Hype Timeline
New Trend International is presently traded for 12.11on Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. New is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on New Trend is about 3692.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.21. About 46.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of New Trend was presently reported as 3.71. The company last dividend was issued on the 19th of September 2024. New Trend International had 1.45:1 split on the 19th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out New Trend Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.New Trend Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New Trend's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New Trend's future price movements. Getting to know how New Trend's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New Trend may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600831 | Shaanxi Broadcast TV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.29 | 0.19 | 5.04 | (4.93) | 10.25 | |
| 600683 | Metro Investment Development | 0.14 | 2 per month | 3.28 | 0.11 | 6.48 | (4.17) | 20.01 | |
| 000895 | Henan Shuanghui Investment | 0.45 | 1 per month | 1.58 | 0.08 | 3.31 | (2.17) | 12.43 | |
| 000506 | Zhongrun Resources Investment | (0.09) | 1 per month | 3.39 | 0.29 | 5.14 | (5.00) | 10.40 | |
| 601188 | Heilongjiang Transport Development | 0.13 | 1 per month | 2.50 | 0.11 | 4.40 | (4.29) | 18.72 | |
| 600784 | Luyin Investment Group | 0.30 | 1 per month | 1.75 | 0.18 | 4.30 | (3.09) | 13.87 | |
| 001286 | Shaanxi Energy Investment | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.71 | 0.03 | 3.31 | (2.90) | 13.21 | |
| 688156 | Road Environment Technology | 0.18 | 3 per month | 2.98 | 0.11 | 4.76 | (4.57) | 26.38 |
New Trend Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About New Trend Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of New Trend stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as New Trend International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of New Trend based on analysis of New Trend hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to New Trend's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to New Trend's related companies.
Story Coverage note for New Trend
The number of cover stories for New Trend depends on current market conditions and New Trend's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New Trend is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New Trend's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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New Trend Short Properties
New Trend's future price predictability will typically decrease when New Trend's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New Trend International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New Trend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Trend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.2 M |
Complementary Tools for New Stock analysis
When running New Trend's price analysis, check to measure New Trend's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Trend is operating at the current time. Most of New Trend's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Trend's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Trend's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Trend to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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