Afcon Holdings (Israel) Price Prediction

AFHL Stock  ILS 14,900  400.00  2.76%   
The value of RSI of Afcon Holdings' share price is above 70 at this time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Afcon, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

79

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Afcon Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Afcon Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Afcon Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Afcon Holdings from the perspective of Afcon Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Afcon Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Afcon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Afcon Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 14900.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Afcon Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,40713,41016,390
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14,93314,93614,939
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,18411,74515,306
Details

Afcon Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Afcon Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Afcon Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Afcon Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Afcon Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Afcon Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Afcon Holdings' historical news coverage. Afcon Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14,897 and 14,903, respectively. We have considered Afcon Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14,900
14,897
Downside
14,900
After-hype Price
14,903
Upside
Afcon Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Afcon Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Afcon Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Afcon Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Afcon Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Afcon Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.11 
2.76
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14,900
14,900
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Afcon Holdings Hype Timeline

Afcon Holdings is presently traded for 14,900on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Afcon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Afcon Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14,900. About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Afcon Holdings last dividend was issued on the 15th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Afcon Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Afcon Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Afcon Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Afcon Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Afcon Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Afcon Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Afcon Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Afcon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Afcon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Afcon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Afcon Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Afcon Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Afcon Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Afcon Holdings based on analysis of Afcon Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Afcon Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Afcon Holdings's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Afcon Holdings

The number of cover stories for Afcon Holdings depends on current market conditions and Afcon Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Afcon Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Afcon Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Afcon Holdings Short Properties

Afcon Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Afcon Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Afcon Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Afcon Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Afcon Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.1 M

Complementary Tools for Afcon Stock analysis

When running Afcon Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Afcon Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Afcon Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Afcon Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Afcon Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Afcon Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Afcon Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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