Autogrill SpA ADR Price Prediction
| ATGSYDelisted Stock | USD 8.25 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Autogrill SpA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Autogrill SpA ADR from the perspective of Autogrill SpA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Autogrill SpA to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Autogrill because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Autogrill SpA after-hype prediction price | USD 8.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Autogrill |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Autogrill SpA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Autogrill SpA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Autogrill SpA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Autogrill SpA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Autogrill SpA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Autogrill SpA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Autogrill SpA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Autogrill SpA's historical news coverage. Autogrill SpA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.25 and 8.25, respectively. We have considered Autogrill SpA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Autogrill SpA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Autogrill SpA ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Autogrill SpA Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Autogrill SpA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Autogrill SpA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Autogrill SpA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.25 | 8.25 | 0.00 |
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Autogrill SpA Hype Timeline
Autogrill SpA ADR is presently traded for 8.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Autogrill is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Autogrill SpA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.25. The book value of the company was presently reported as 2.44. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of July 2021. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.Autogrill SpA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Autogrill SpA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Autogrill SpA's future price movements. Getting to know how Autogrill SpA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Autogrill SpA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRTPY | Marstons PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MARZF | Marstons PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.91 | |
| DMPZF | Dominos Pizza Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.34 | |
| BDVB | Bagger Daves Burger | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.18 | 0.05 | 13.22 | (11.67) | 49.74 | |
| ALSSF | Alsea SAB de | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.07 | (5.17) | 18.57 | |
| AWRRF | AW Revenue Royalties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.26 | 0.11 | 2.25 | (2.00) | 31.88 | |
| HLFFF | HelloFresh SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.83 | 0.09 | 11.64 | (9.87) | 40.08 | |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp | 0.82 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.04 | (4.37) | 10.26 | |
| NROM | Noble Romans | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.48 | 0.03 | 18.75 | (17.95) | 68.65 | |
| FRGI | Fiesta Restaurant Group | (0.22) | 1 per month | 2.75 | (0.05) | 4.69 | (3.69) | 12.75 | |
| NATH | Nathans Famous | 0.65 | 7 per month | 1.67 | 0.05 | 3.10 | (2.60) | 8.79 | |
| BH | Biglari Holdings | 8.12 | 6 per month | 1.21 | 0.06 | 4.00 | (2.23) | 11.00 |
Autogrill SpA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Autogrill price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Autogrill using various technical indicators. When you analyze Autogrill charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Autogrill SpA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Autogrill SpA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Autogrill SpA ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Autogrill SpA based on analysis of Autogrill SpA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Autogrill SpA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Autogrill SpA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Autogrill SpA
The number of cover stories for Autogrill SpA depends on current market conditions and Autogrill SpA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Autogrill SpA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Autogrill SpA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Autogrill SpA Short Properties
Autogrill SpA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Autogrill SpA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Autogrill SpA ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Autogrill SpA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autogrill SpA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 381.9 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Other Consideration for investing in Autogrill Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Autogrill SpA ADR check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Autogrill SpA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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