Connectone Bancorp Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| CNOBP Preferred Stock | USD 22.20 0.19 0.86% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ConnectOne Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ConnectOne Bancorp from the perspective of ConnectOne Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ConnectOne Bancorp to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ConnectOne because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ConnectOne Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 22.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ConnectOne |
ConnectOne Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ConnectOne Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ConnectOne Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of ConnectOne Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ConnectOne Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ConnectOne Bancorp's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ConnectOne Bancorp's historical news coverage. ConnectOne Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.18 and 23.22, respectively. We have considered ConnectOne Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ConnectOne Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ConnectOne Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
ConnectOne Bancorp Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ConnectOne Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ConnectOne Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ConnectOne Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.20 | 22.20 | 0.00 |
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ConnectOne Bancorp Hype Timeline
ConnectOne Bancorp is currently traded for 22.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.3. ConnectOne is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on ConnectOne Bancorp is about 54.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.90. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out ConnectOne Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ConnectOne Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ConnectOne Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ConnectOne Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how ConnectOne Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ConnectOne Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DCOMP | Dime Community Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | (0.01) | 1.65 | (2.12) | 4.78 | |
| WAFDP | Washington Federal | (9.32) | 1 per month | 1.04 | (0.04) | 2.68 | (1.56) | 5.55 | |
| CCNEP | CNB Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | (0.01) | 2.66 | (1.59) | 8.21 | |
| FGBIP | First Guaranty Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.03 | 2.63 | (2.55) | 7.01 | |
| TCBIO | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | (0.04) | 1.95 | (1.77) | 6.01 |
ConnectOne Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ConnectOne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ConnectOne using various technical indicators. When you analyze ConnectOne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About ConnectOne Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ConnectOne Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ConnectOne Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ConnectOne Bancorp based on analysis of ConnectOne Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ConnectOne Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ConnectOne Bancorp's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ConnectOne Bancorp
The number of cover stories for ConnectOne Bancorp depends on current market conditions and ConnectOne Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ConnectOne Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ConnectOne Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ConnectOne Bancorp Short Properties
ConnectOne Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when ConnectOne Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ConnectOne Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ConnectOne Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ConnectOne Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.2 M |
Additional Tools for ConnectOne Preferred Stock Analysis
When running ConnectOne Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure ConnectOne Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ConnectOne Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of ConnectOne Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ConnectOne Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ConnectOne Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ConnectOne Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.