Employers Holdings Stock Price Prediction
EIG Stock | USD 53.58 0.34 0.64% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.246 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.6667 | Wall Street Target Price 56 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.78 |
Using Employers Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Employers Holdings from the perspective of Employers Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Employers Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Employers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Employers Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 53.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Employers |
Employers Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Employers Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Employers Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Employers Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Employers Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Employers Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Employers Holdings' historical news coverage. Employers Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.93 and 55.21, respectively. We have considered Employers Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Employers Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Employers Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Employers Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Employers Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Employers Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Employers Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.64 | 0.01 | 0.14 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.58 | 53.57 | 0.02 |
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Employers Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 28th of November Employers Holdings is traded for 53.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Employers is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Employers Holdings is about 227.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.44. About 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.2. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Employers Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.05. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.34. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Employers Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Employers Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Employers Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Employers Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Employers Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Employers Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
AMSF | AMERISAFE | (1.03) | 6 per month | 0.87 | 0.09 | 2.32 | (2.12) | 12.74 | |
NMIH | NMI Holdings | (0.14) | 9 per month | 1.71 | (0.07) | 2.37 | (2.55) | 9.75 | |
ITIC | Investors Title | (3.12) | 8 per month | 1.34 | 0.13 | 3.89 | (2.34) | 12.40 | |
ESNT | Essent Group | 0.49 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.88 | (2.14) | 13.14 | |
AMBC | Ambac Financial Group | (0.14) | 7 per month | 1.75 | 0.03 | 3.27 | (2.90) | 16.30 | |
MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | (0.38) | 9 per month | 1.61 | (0.03) | 2.12 | (2.36) | 8.52 |
Employers Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Employers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Employers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Employers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Employers Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Employers Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Employers Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Employers Holdings based on analysis of Employers Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Employers Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Employers Holdings's related companies. 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0248 | 0.0286 | 0.0156 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.66 | 1.22 | 2.04 |
Story Coverage note for Employers Holdings
The number of cover stories for Employers Holdings depends on current market conditions and Employers Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Employers Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Employers Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Employers Holdings Short Properties
Employers Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Employers Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Employers Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Employers Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Employers Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.5 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 913.2 M |
Complementary Tools for Employers Stock analysis
When running Employers Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Employers Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Employers Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Employers Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Employers Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Employers Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Employers Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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