Freegold Ventures Limited Stock Price Prediction
| FVL Stock | CAD 0.69 0.01 1.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 2 |
Using Freegold Ventures hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freegold Ventures Limited from the perspective of Freegold Ventures response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Freegold Ventures to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Freegold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Freegold Ventures after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Freegold |
Freegold Ventures After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freegold Ventures at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freegold Ventures or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Freegold Ventures, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freegold Ventures Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freegold Ventures' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freegold Ventures' historical news coverage. Freegold Ventures' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.45, respectively. We have considered Freegold Ventures' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freegold Ventures is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freegold Ventures is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freegold Ventures Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Freegold Ventures is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freegold Ventures backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freegold Ventures, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.78 | 3.77 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.69 | 0.68 | 2.86 |
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Freegold Ventures Hype Timeline
Freegold Ventures is currently traded for 0.69on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Freegold is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -2.86%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.78%. The volatility of related hype on Freegold Ventures is about 150800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.69. About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Freegold Ventures was currently reported as 0.22. The company last dividend was issued on the June 6, 2007. Freegold Ventures had 1:4 split on the 4th of September 2002. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be very soon. Check out Freegold Ventures Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Freegold Ventures Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freegold Ventures' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freegold Ventures' future price movements. Getting to know how Freegold Ventures' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freegold Ventures may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMN | Monarca Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OCG | Outcrop Gold Corp | (0.01) | 4 per month | 4.25 | 0.01 | 9.52 | (8.70) | 29.76 | |
| GPG | Grande Portage Resources | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.09 | (11.54) | 37.43 | |
| KS | Klondike Silver Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.36 | 0 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 45.00 |
Freegold Ventures Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freegold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freegold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freegold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Freegold Ventures Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Freegold Ventures stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Freegold Ventures Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Freegold Ventures based on analysis of Freegold Ventures hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Freegold Ventures's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Freegold Ventures's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 117.43 | 104.38 | PTB Ratio | 1.72 | 1.81 |
Story Coverage note for Freegold Ventures
The number of cover stories for Freegold Ventures depends on current market conditions and Freegold Ventures' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freegold Ventures is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freegold Ventures' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Freegold Ventures Short Properties
Freegold Ventures' future price predictability will typically decrease when Freegold Ventures' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Freegold Ventures Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Freegold Ventures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freegold Ventures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 393.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Freegold Stock
Freegold Ventures financial ratios help investors to determine whether Freegold Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Freegold with respect to the benefits of owning Freegold Ventures security.