Idemitsu Kosan Co Stock Price Prediction
| IDKOY Stock | USD 13.42 0.29 2.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Idemitsu Kosan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Idemitsu Kosan Co from the perspective of Idemitsu Kosan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Idemitsu Kosan to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Idemitsu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Idemitsu Kosan after-hype prediction price | USD 13.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Idemitsu |
Idemitsu Kosan After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Idemitsu Kosan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Idemitsu Kosan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Idemitsu Kosan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Idemitsu Kosan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Idemitsu Kosan's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Idemitsu Kosan's historical news coverage. Idemitsu Kosan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.20 and 16.64, respectively. We have considered Idemitsu Kosan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Idemitsu Kosan is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Idemitsu Kosan is based on 3 months time horizon.
Idemitsu Kosan Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Idemitsu Kosan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Idemitsu Kosan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Idemitsu Kosan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 3.21 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.42 | 13.42 | 0.00 |
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Idemitsu Kosan Hype Timeline
Idemitsu Kosan is currently traded for 13.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Idemitsu is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Idemitsu Kosan is about 343.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.40. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Idemitsu Kosan recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 9th of January 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Idemitsu Kosan Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Idemitsu Kosan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Idemitsu Kosan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Idemitsu Kosan's future price movements. Getting to know how Idemitsu Kosan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Idemitsu Kosan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JXHLY | Eneos Holdings ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.93 | (0) | 11.13 | (12.48) | 31.09 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.49 | (4.36) | 11.79 | |
| IDKOF | Idemitsu Kosan CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.71 | |
| PBF | PBF Energy | 0.48 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.77 | (3.76) | 15.94 | |
| DK | Delek Energy | (0.61) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.66 | (4.20) | 16.10 | |
| CVI | CVR Energy | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.99 | (5.26) | 28.93 | |
| VLO | Valero Energy | (3.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.75 | (3.05) | 11.46 | |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corp | (4.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.51 | (3.37) | 13.39 |
Idemitsu Kosan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Idemitsu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Idemitsu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Idemitsu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Idemitsu Kosan Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Idemitsu Kosan stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Idemitsu Kosan Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Idemitsu Kosan based on analysis of Idemitsu Kosan hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Idemitsu Kosan's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Idemitsu Kosan's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Idemitsu Kosan
The number of cover stories for Idemitsu Kosan depends on current market conditions and Idemitsu Kosan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Idemitsu Kosan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Idemitsu Kosan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Idemitsu Kosan Short Properties
Idemitsu Kosan's future price predictability will typically decrease when Idemitsu Kosan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Idemitsu Kosan Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Idemitsu Kosan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Idemitsu Kosan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 594.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 140.3 B |
Additional Tools for Idemitsu Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Idemitsu Kosan's price analysis, check to measure Idemitsu Kosan's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Idemitsu Kosan is operating at the current time. Most of Idemitsu Kosan's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Idemitsu Kosan's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Idemitsu Kosan's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Idemitsu Kosan to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.