Liberty Financial (Australia) Price Prediction
| LFG Stock | 3.24 0.05 1.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.48 | Wall Street Target Price 4.11 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
Using Liberty Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liberty Financial Group from the perspective of Liberty Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Liberty Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Liberty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Liberty Financial after-hype prediction price | AUD 3.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Liberty |
Liberty Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Liberty Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liberty Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Liberty Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Liberty Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Liberty Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liberty Financial's historical news coverage. Liberty Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.43 and 5.03, respectively. We have considered Liberty Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Liberty Financial is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liberty Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Liberty Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Liberty Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liberty Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liberty Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.80 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.24 | 3.23 | 0.31 |
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Liberty Financial Hype Timeline
Liberty Financial is now traded for 3.24on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Liberty is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Liberty Financial is about 2880000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.24. About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.82. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Liberty Financial last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Liberty Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Liberty Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Liberty Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liberty Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Liberty Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liberty Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ERA | Energy Resources | (0) | 4 per month | 21.83 | 0.09 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 150.72 | |
| 88E | 88 Energy | 0.0005 | 1 per month | 19.24 | 0.14 | 50.00 | (50.00) | 100.00 | |
| ANL | Amani Gold | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AYI | A1 Investments Resources | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CRN | Coronado Global Resources | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.50 | (4.44) | 13.03 | |
| HTA | Hutchison Telecommunications | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.79 | 0.03 | 4.00 | (7.14) | 31.55 | |
| AMD | Arrow Minerals | 0.00 | 2 per month | 16.98 | 0.1 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| TIG | Tigers Realm Coal | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 16.67 | (16.67) | 58.33 |
Liberty Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Liberty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liberty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liberty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Liberty Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Liberty Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Liberty Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Liberty Financial based on analysis of Liberty Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Liberty Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Liberty Financial's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Liberty Financial
The number of cover stories for Liberty Financial depends on current market conditions and Liberty Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liberty Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liberty Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Liberty Financial Short Properties
Liberty Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Liberty Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Liberty Financial Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Liberty Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 305.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Additional Tools for Liberty Stock Analysis
When running Liberty Financial's price analysis, check to measure Liberty Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Liberty Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Liberty Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Liberty Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Liberty Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Liberty Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.