Marstons PLC (UK) Price Prediction
| MARS Stock | 45.50 1.70 3.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0582 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0823 | Wall Street Target Price 62.333 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 |
Using Marstons PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marstons PLC from the perspective of Marstons PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marstons PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marstons because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marstons PLC after-hype prediction price | GBX 45.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Marstons |
Marstons PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marstons PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marstons PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marstons PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marstons PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marstons PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marstons PLC's historical news coverage. Marstons PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.48 and 47.66, respectively. We have considered Marstons PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marstons PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marstons PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marstons PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marstons PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marstons PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marstons PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.59 | 0.43 | 0.84 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.50 | 45.07 | 0.95 |
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Marstons PLC Hype Timeline
Marstons PLC is now traded for 45.50on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.84. Marstons is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 45.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 126.34%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.95%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Marstons PLC is about 65.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.34. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Marstons PLC last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2019. The entity had 4:1 split on the 9th of January 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Marstons PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marstons PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marstons PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marstons PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Marstons PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marstons PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OBI | Ondine Biomedical | (0.50) | 4 per month | 2.65 | 0.12 | 5.88 | (5.71) | 49.32 | |
| EUZ | Europa Metals | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| REVB | Revolution Beauty Group | (0.24) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.35 | (7.59) | 14.70 | |
| MOON | Moonpig Group PLC | (8.00) | 5 per month | 2.78 | 0.04 | 3.32 | (2.87) | 27.05 | |
| PCIP | PCI PAL PLC | 1.50 | 4 per month | 1.42 | 0.08 | 6.60 | (2.92) | 16.24 | |
| HTWS | Helios Towers Plc | (1.40) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.41 | (2.87) | 9.26 | |
| BIOM | Biome Technologies Plc | 0.50 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | (8.70) | 24.29 | |
| FARN | Faron Pharmaceuticals Oy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 6.94 | (5.45) | 19.89 | |
| INDV | Indivior PLC | 44.00 | 5 per month | 3.69 | 0.12 | 5.78 | (3.55) | 23.95 |
Marstons PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marstons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marstons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marstons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marstons PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marstons PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marstons PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marstons PLC based on analysis of Marstons PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marstons PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marstons PLC's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Marstons PLC
The number of cover stories for Marstons PLC depends on current market conditions and Marstons PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marstons PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marstons PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Marstons PLC Short Properties
Marstons PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marstons PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marstons PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marstons PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marstons PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 633.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 M |
Additional Tools for Marstons Stock Analysis
When running Marstons PLC's price analysis, check to measure Marstons PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marstons PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Marstons PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marstons PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marstons PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marstons PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.