Muenchener Rueckver Ges Stock Price Prediction

MURGY Stock  USD 10.92  0.11  1.02%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Muenchener Rueckver's pink sheet price is slightly above 62. This indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Muenchener, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Muenchener Rueckver's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Muenchener Rueckver Ges, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Muenchener Rueckver hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Muenchener Rueckver Ges from the perspective of Muenchener Rueckver response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Muenchener Rueckver to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Muenchener because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Muenchener Rueckver after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Muenchener Rueckver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0810.6012.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Muenchener Rueckver. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Muenchener Rueckver's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Muenchener Rueckver's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Muenchener Rueckver Ges.

Muenchener Rueckver After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Muenchener Rueckver at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Muenchener Rueckver or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Muenchener Rueckver, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Muenchener Rueckver Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Muenchener Rueckver's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Muenchener Rueckver's historical news coverage. Muenchener Rueckver's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.40 and 12.44, respectively. We have considered Muenchener Rueckver's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.92
10.92
After-hype Price
12.44
Upside
Muenchener Rueckver is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Muenchener Rueckver Ges is based on 3 months time horizon.

Muenchener Rueckver Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Muenchener Rueckver is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Muenchener Rueckver backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Muenchener Rueckver, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
1.51
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.92
10.92
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Muenchener Rueckver Hype Timeline

Muenchener Rueckver Ges is now traded for 10.92. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Muenchener is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Muenchener Rueckver is about 176.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.94. The book value of the company was now reported as 15.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.19. Muenchener Rueckver Ges last dividend was issued on the 29th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Muenchener Rueckver Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Muenchener Rueckver Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Muenchener Rueckver's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Muenchener Rueckver's future price movements. Getting to know how Muenchener Rueckver's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Muenchener Rueckver may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SSREFSwiss Re AG(0.45)21 per month 0.74  0.06  2.51 (0.76) 9.13 
SPNT-PBSiriusPoint 0.00 0 per month 0.17 (0.10) 0.52 (0.36) 2.00 
RNRRenaissancere Holdings 1.39 9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.86 (2.58) 11.38 
MHLDMaiden Holdings(0.14)3 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.06 (6.21) 23.46 
REColas SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.29 (2.48) 6.28 
GLREGreenlight Capital Re 0.16 8 per month 1.26 (0.01) 1.90 (1.81) 12.12 
BNREBrookfield Reinsurance 0.00 0 per month 1.18  0.23  3.14 (1.88) 9.53 
RGAReinsurance Group of 1.66 33 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.86 (2.12) 10.03 
SPNTSiriuspoint(0.50)6 per month 1.74  0.03  2.68 (2.76) 13.03 
SCRYYSCOR PK 6.45 17 per month 1.73  0.04  5.61 (3.30) 12.99 

Muenchener Rueckver Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Muenchener price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Muenchener using various technical indicators. When you analyze Muenchener charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Muenchener Rueckver Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Muenchener Rueckver stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Muenchener Rueckver Ges, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Muenchener Rueckver based on analysis of Muenchener Rueckver hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Muenchener Rueckver's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Muenchener Rueckver's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Muenchener Rueckver

The number of cover stories for Muenchener Rueckver depends on current market conditions and Muenchener Rueckver's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Muenchener Rueckver is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Muenchener Rueckver's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Muenchener Rueckver Short Properties

Muenchener Rueckver's future price predictability will typically decrease when Muenchener Rueckver's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Muenchener Rueckver Ges often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Muenchener Rueckver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Muenchener Rueckver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments171.2 B

Additional Tools for Muenchener Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Muenchener Rueckver's price analysis, check to measure Muenchener Rueckver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Muenchener Rueckver is operating at the current time. Most of Muenchener Rueckver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Muenchener Rueckver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Muenchener Rueckver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Muenchener Rueckver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.