Norske Skog (Norway) Price Prediction
| NSKOG Stock | NOK 22.20 0.38 1.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Norske Skog hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Norske Skog Asa from the perspective of Norske Skog response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Norske Skog to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Norske because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Norske Skog after-hype prediction price | NOK 22.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Norske |
Norske Skog After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Norske Skog at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Norske Skog or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Norske Skog, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Norske Skog Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Norske Skog's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Norske Skog's historical news coverage. Norske Skog's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.85 and 26.31, respectively. We have considered Norske Skog's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Norske Skog is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Norske Skog Asa is based on 3 months time horizon.
Norske Skog Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Norske Skog is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Norske Skog backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Norske Skog, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 3.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
22.20 | 22.58 | 0.00 |
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Norske Skog Hype Timeline
Norske Skog Asa is now traded for 22.20on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Norske is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Norske Skog is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.20. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.25. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Norske Skog Asa recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.09. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of August 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Norske Skog Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Norske Skog Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Norske Skog's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Norske Skog's future price movements. Getting to know how Norske Skog's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Norske Skog may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOBA | Morrow Bank ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | 0.23 | 4.51 | (2.11) | 10.08 | |
| GRONG | Grong Sparebank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | (0.07) | 1.79 | (2.16) | 7.84 | |
| NTG | Nordic Technology Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.65 | (4.27) | 22.93 | |
| SUNSB | Sunndal Sparebank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | (0.02) | 1.53 | (1.51) | 8.32 | |
| GOD | Goodtech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.94 | (3.29) | 14.80 | |
| 5PG | 5Th Planet Games | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.83 | (4.70) | 18.49 | |
| SPOL | SpareBank 1 stlandet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.07) | 1.46 | (2.02) | 7.58 |
Norske Skog Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Norske price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Norske using various technical indicators. When you analyze Norske charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Norske Skog Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Norske Skog stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Norske Skog Asa, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Norske Skog based on analysis of Norske Skog hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Norske Skog's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Norske Skog's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Norske Skog
The number of cover stories for Norske Skog depends on current market conditions and Norske Skog's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Norske Skog is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Norske Skog's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Norske Skog Short Properties
Norske Skog's future price predictability will typically decrease when Norske Skog's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Norske Skog Asa often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Norske Skog's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Norske Skog's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Other Information on Investing in Norske Stock
Norske Skog financial ratios help investors to determine whether Norske Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Norske with respect to the benefits of owning Norske Skog security.